Barley Ethanol?
Economists and Engineers: Bridging the Communications Gap on Peak Oil

Dennis Shut Down 96% of Gulf Oil Production; Prices Rise with More Hurricanes Coming

Dennis Bearing Down on the GOM

With more than 96% of Gulf of Mexico (GOM) oil production halted by evacuations and production shut-in caused by Hurricane Dennis, oil prices began rising again this week.

The 96.2% of oil production shut-in through Monday noon represented more than 1.4 million barrels of oil per day. GOM production contributes some 1.5 million bpd—about 30%—of domestic US production.

Natural gas production shut-in represented 62.4% of capacity, or 6.2 billion cubic feet per day.

The force of the storm caused BP’s giant Thunder Horse rig to list at 20–30 degrees. (Earlier post.)

At Tuesday noon, production shut-in had dropped to 57.2% of daily production as crews returned to rigs. The cumulative shut-in oil production for the period from through 12 July is 4,988,360 barrels, which is equivalent to 0.91% of the yearly production of oil in the GOM—or approximately 547.5 million barrels.

“The oil production losses reported by the government were higher than people expected,” said Phil Flynn, vice president of risk management with Alaron Trading Corp. in Chicago. “If we lost that much with Dennis, people are worried about what’s going to happen with the next storm.” (Bloomberg)

Emily Brewing

Tropical Storm Emily, the fifth named storm since the June start of the hurricane season, formed in the Caribbean and could reach the Gulf next week.

Researchers from the Benfield Hazard Research Centre in London are predicting a very active hurricane seasons for the Atlantic, based on the unusually warm sea temperatures in the tropical North Atlantic. Between July and October, they say, nine hurricanes will probably hit the Atlantic basin as a whole. (BBC)

As sensitive as the global oil market is to supply disruption, the apparently rough storm season ahead (the second in a row), will add even more pressure to the market.



The irony of a somewhat-self-correcting system.

CO2 from oil consumption leads to global warming.
Global warming leads to hurricanes.
Hurricanes result in shutting down oil production.
Oil prices rise.
Oil consumption falls?

Mikhail Capone

...until they build hurricane-proof (or just plain out of the path of hurricane when possible) oil production infrastructure. Heh.


Bring on the high oil prices! I'm looking forward to seeing my fellow wasteful American get squeezed for driving pigmobiles. With any great luck, avg. gasoline prices will be $4/gallon by the end of the year. Mebbe this `problem' will politically take our our neofascist president too. Here's to hoping everyone =)


Verify your Comment

Previewing your Comment

This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.

Your comment could not be posted. Error type:
Your comment has been posted. Post another comment

The letters and numbers you entered did not match the image. Please try again.

As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.

Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.


Post a comment

Your Information

(Name is required. Email address will not be displayed with the comment.)