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Japanese Automakers Say Not Possible to Meet Europe’s 120 gCO2/km Target by 2012

9 May 2007

Jama
JAMA proposes an multi-part approach similar to that being taken in Japan that puts less direct burden on the automakers. Click to enlarge.

The Japanese Automobile Manufacturers Association (JAMA) has published a response to the European Commission’s proposal to institute binding limits of greenhouse gas emissions on new vehicles by 2012: an average 130 g/km from the vehicles, with another 10 g/km to come from lower carbon fuels and other measures.

While saying that it supports the Commission’s objectives, JAMA expresses concern over the implementation dates, the legislated emissions framework, and the focus on vehicle technology.

JAMA members are making every effort to met the interim target of 140 g CO2/km by 2009. If JAMA members are to meet the Commission’s new target of 120 g/km by 2012, the CO2 emissions rate will have to be cut by a further 20 g/km in only 3 years. JAMA therefore does not believe that it will be possible to meet the ambitious 2012 target in such a limited time frame.

The Euro 5/6 standards and environmental and safety regulations will constrain efforts to cut CO2, according to JAMA.

Modification required to pass the Euro NCAP crash-impact tests increase vehicle weight, as do safety belts, other restraint systems and the ISOFIX system, according to JAMA. Modification to vehicle shape to protect pedestrians in the event of a collision increase weight and aerodynamic drag.

The average weight of JAMA vehicles increased by 99 kg between 1999 and 2005.

Approximately 27 kg are estimated to be due to “new regulation, quasi-regulation”. The remaining 72 kg are due to “market changes”. This increase amounts to an average increase in CO2 emissions of 6.6 g/km. It is to be noted that the increase of 72 kg occurred despite efforts by JAMA to use lightweight solutions such as high-strength steel, aluminum, magnesium and plastics.

A 10% increase in aerodynamic drag results in a 2% increase in CO2 emissions, according to JAMA.

The association supports an integrated approach similar to the “three-in-one” approach being taken in Japan: greater fuel efficiency through vehicle technology improvements; improved traffic flow through road infrastructure improvements and improved traffic management; and “eco-driving”.

Of the 54.9 million tonnes of CO2 from the transport sector targeted for reduction in 2010 in Japan, 38% will come from greater fuel efficiency, 10% will come from alternative fuel vehicles and other measures such as eco-driving, and 52% will come from improved traffic flow, according to JAMA.

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May 9, 2007 in Climate Change, Emissions, Europe, Fuel Efficiency, Policy | Permalink | Comments (39) | TrackBack (0)

Comments

"meeting" modern safety requirements and scoring comparably well on the safety test to MY2007 vehicles is a WORLD of difference.

The Chevy Aveo "meets" modern safety requirements but it is no where even close to the Honda Civic in the test results.

Posted by: Patrick | May 10, 2007 at 07:48 AM

Why can't we all just quit the bickering and run our autos on water to fuel. H2O is a great source of fuel, either as a supplement or full on with no other fuel.
For starters, reference;
http://waterpoweredcar.com/index.html
http://pesn.com/2006/04/16/9600261_Joe_Cell_instructions/
http://www.hydrogen-boost.com/
http://www.chechfi.ca/sohfitech.htm

Posted by: WaterPower | May 10, 2007 at 10:43 AM

Water powered car? The principle of electrolysis is simple. You take power in the form of electricity and use it to split it into hydrogen and oxygen. The problem remains ... you still have to get the electricity from somewhere to start with.

Hydrogen does present itself as an interesting fuel source though.... in that sense you're correct. Just remember you never get something for nothing. The energy has to come from somewhere.

Posted by: Tom | May 10, 2007 at 11:35 AM

Believe it or not, the process of splitting the water molecule has been improved through several different methods which use a fraction of the energy that the 'old' electrolysis does. A little research will prove that point.
In addition to that, the benefits of hydrogen in the combustion chamber causes a much more complete and clean burn. Therefore, if one must use dino fuel, then they can burn it lean and clean for better mileage and emmisions.

Posted by: WaterPower | May 10, 2007 at 12:08 PM

Great idea! The power from the engine drives the electrolysis. The electrolysis creates hydrogen which is burned to power the engine. Kinda like plugging an extension cord into itself to get power. Just out curiosity, how far above 100% efficiency is your system?

Posted by: Bob Bastard | May 10, 2007 at 01:32 PM

WaterPower-

You're kidding, right?

MODERATOR ALERT, MODERATOR ALERT!!!
PERPETUAL MOTION SCAMS SHOULD NOT BE ALLOWED ON THESE FORUMS!!!

Just to give you the benefit of the doubt, even if you arrived at this forum to argue the merits of a Hydrogen-powered anything, there are simple laws that cannot be broken.

To put it simply, running anything on hydrogen is like using the world's worst battery (a really, really, really, really bad battery). You consume far more energy to access the Hydrogen than could possibly be released during its combustion.

Posted by: DieselHybrid | May 10, 2007 at 05:15 PM

Actually I think Waterpower is refering to a system that ADDS hydrogen to the normal fuel mix.
http://www.hydrogen-boost.com/
Hydrogen burns real quick so it improves the flame speed of lean fuel mixtures and prevents knocking. Of course I'd like to see the system get its energy from something other than the engine - maybe recover it from the exhaust gasses or split the water using roof mounted PV cells or even just have a small secondary tank.

You can even mix hydrogen with other fuels, the idea works on diesels and CNG. A local company sells conversions for diesel trucks so they burn a mix of hydrogen and natural gas. Very clean. Just a minute while I check my bookmarks again;
http://www.westport.com/index.php
http://www.hythane.com/
http://www.hy-drive.com/main/default.asp

Posted by: ai_vin | May 11, 2007 at 09:47 AM

Wait ... I just wanted to point out that you're not going to get a miracle car that runs on water. Using hydrogen as a fuel source (in terms of energy density) isn't a bad idea.

You have two basic methods for Hydrogen ... an internal combustion engine or using a fuel cell. Remember there was a recent article here reguarding GM calling for local testers for its new fuel cell truck.

Posted by: Tom | May 11, 2007 at 12:03 PM

Thanks for the link (Planck) and the analysis (Rafael and everyone else). I love the commments section of this site. Really helps to put this kind of press release into perspective. Its hard to know what to make of such claims otherwise.

Posted by: Nick Flynn | May 11, 2007 at 01:29 PM

As I read this, the additional 20g cuts from 2009-2012 are only half the responsibility of the auto manufacturers (accommodating biofuel is no big deal), so 10g or 7.1%. The full schedule is thus:

Year    g/km    Down    Per Yr    Note
1995    196                       Historical
2004    170     13.2%   1.5%      Historical
2009    140     17.6%   3.5%      Promised
2012    130      7.1%   2.4%      On Table

The 1995-2004 period was driven by cheap gas days, so progress was slow. The just-recommitted target is a 3.5% annual rate, which is good. But extending the target out 3 more years at a 2.4% rate is impossible, says the manufacturer's association.

It seems what they mean is impossible, without having to do anything that they don't want to do because they expect it to materially impact profits, like sell fewer rolling castles. Of course, they are assuming that the market will not also be changed, by such things as higher fuel prices (courtesy OPEC or Brussels) or other policies. They're really acting at the indirect behest of politicians, who they are sure will continue to put forth policies that are pro-oil, relative to the need (though not to the extent you see in the US).

Raising these standards should be good for the auto manufacturers, despite the temptation they create by making oversized vehicles a hotter item when you can sell them. If you can't, then the standard basically just takes business away from Big Oil and gives it to automakers, who will have to make more expensive cars to achieve that. Except in the very short run, as people keep their old cars longer. But Japan is known for thinking longer term than that, and they lead on efficiency. I'd say they'd be best off taking a Brer Rabbit approach (reverse psychology) on this. Maybe that's what they're doing already.

Posted by: P Schager | May 11, 2007 at 10:29 PM

Does your electric car's CO2 emissions include that CO2 produced by your local electric utility's coal-burning generators? And does it then meet the 120g CO2/km when that is included? Didn't think so.

Oh yeah, and if you live in an area served by a nuke plant, you're essentially driving a nuclear powered car. My gasoline powered car may be producing CO2, but it sure as heck doesn't produce any nuclear waste. Can you say the same about your electric car? Didn't think so.

Posted by: terry | May 13, 2007 at 03:19 PM

The government and environmentalists say it's easy to do. Let's see them do it. Nancy Pelosi and Greenpeace should start up a car company that meets their goals, sells adequate numbers and stays viable.

Posted by: Tom | May 13, 2007 at 06:29 PM

Yes, while Pelosi prances about the globe in her tax-payer funded Boeing 767 jet (because the original jet she was given wasn't big enough). So much for reform.

Posted by: DieselHybrid | May 13, 2007 at 10:06 PM

For daily updated news on biofuels, ethanol and climate change issues, please visit:

http://www.ethanol-news.de

Posted by: http://www.ethanol-news.de | May 31, 2007 at 04:03 AM

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