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Study: Refineries’ Hydrogen Consumption Will Climb 40% in Next 5 Years
30 October 2007
Global environmental regulations and the inferior quality of today’s sour crude feedstock available for refineries will drive consumption of hydrogen in excess of 40% over the next five years, according to a new report from SRI Consulting (SRIC).
SRIC’s 2007 Hydrogen report estimates that globally 630.8 billion cubic meters (52.6 million metric tons) of hydrogen were consumed in 2006. Approximately 96% of all hydrogen is from fossil fuels, with natural gas being the most frequently used at an estimated 49%, followed by liquid hydrocarbons with 29%, coal with 18% and electrolysis and other sources at about 4%.
The severe environmental regulations on sulfur in diesel are responsible for the increased consumption. The process of removing sulfur consumes hydrogen, and it is estimated in the future that diesel production will increase relative to gasoline.
—Bala Suresh, Senior Consultant at SRIC
The increasing use of hydrogen deficient heavy crude as feedstock material in refineries is expected to also contribute to the growing hydrogen consumption. In addition, oil-sands processing, gas-to-liquids, and coal gasification projects that are ongoing, all require enormous amounts of hydrogen and will boost the size of the market significantly.
Consulting firm Wood McKenzie predicts that unconventional oil and gas sources such as tar sands will constitute 20% of the world’s production by 2020 compared with 10% currently, according to a report in EnergyTechStocks.com.
October 30, 2007 in Brief | Permalink | Comments (15) | TrackBack (0)
Comments
Posted by: Max Reid | October 30, 2007 at 01:41 PM
BTW, gas-to-liquids is a big flop as it consumes more energy and its economical to use natgas directly in natgas powered vehicles and already 7 million + vehicles are running on CNG.
RIGHT!
That's why Qatar keeps developing GTL. I guess they have too much money on their hands...
Posted by: Engineer | October 30, 2007 at 03:32 PM
But wait, there's more: Based on current oil prices, the pay back time for the project would be short, Brown told the conference earlier.
But what does he know, eh Max?
Posted by: Engineer | October 30, 2007 at 03:36 PM
Don't worry be happy! Once the "Hydrogen Economy" kicks in, there won't be any need for petroleum.
Chime-in anytime Roger.
Posted by: DS | October 30, 2007 at 04:14 PM
Look at this friends
http://www.imakenews.com/lng/e_article000760746.cfm?x=b96T25P,bd1Rfpn
Exxon & Qatar's plan for large GTL plant has been cancelled.
I dont know how long the current venture will last. Its more economical to ship the gas thru LNG and infact CNG with high-pressure cylinder and ANG (which can store more gas) is coming up.
As more NGV's hit the road, GTL's will fall along the wayside. Also the dominance of Gasolene & Diesel will go away.
And NGV economy is way ahead of Hydrogen and Plugin-Hybrids are just 2 years away.
Posted by: Max Reid | October 30, 2007 at 05:19 PM
"Don't worry be happy! Once the "Hydrogen Economy" kicks in, there won't be any need for petroleum."
I cannot agree more with that statement. The fear of hydrogen and theoretical concerns are being tested out with the current FCV fleet and will be further tested out with 100-strong fleets of FCV from GM and Honda. Ford, Hyundai, Toyota, MB, BMW, VW, Mazda are also hard at work to transform H2-transportation into a reality. Shell, BP, Chevron, and others are working on the production and fueling end of the H2 economy!
The future is full of excitement to watch!
Posted by: Roger Pham | October 30, 2007 at 07:16 PM
Hydrogen is an utter joke.
If it's from natural gas, then why not just burn natural gas in the first place.
Or better yet, go diesel.
Or better yet, go hybrid.
http://greyfalcon.net/electriccars2.png
Hell, even coal-electric would be better than natural gas hydrogen.
http://greyfalcon.net/plugins3
And we already got all the electric infrastructure we need.
http://greyfalcon.net/plugins4
Making hydrogen from electricity and water? HA! The nation's cleanest grid can't even produce hydrogen thats less dirty than petroleum.
http://greyfalcon.net/hydrogen2.png
Oh but it can be renewables you say?
Why the hell would we want to squander away our scarce renewable energy on something as inefficient as hydrogen vehicles?
http://greyfalcon.net/hydrogen3.png
Now you ask yourself, what does Toyota, Ford, and Most other Car Companies, use to build our cars? A giant fleet of quickcharging electric forklifts.
http://www.posicharge.com/ford.html
__________
Hydrogen is just a flashy diversion from the do-nothing auto industry. It's not supposed to be realistic, otherwise they might run the risk of actually doing it.
http://www.greencarcongress.com/2007/05/automakers_rall.html
http://www.greencarcongress.com/2007/05/automakers_rall.html
Posted by: GreyFlcn | October 30, 2007 at 09:17 PM
Hell, our Fuel Economy now is worse than it was 20 years ago.
http://www.greencarcongress.com/2007/10/differences-bet.html
Posted by: GreyFlcn | October 30, 2007 at 09:18 PM
I don't know where they get these number that Tar Sand provides 10% of the world oil production. Canada produces 130 000 000Mt yearly (all crudes) that's barely 2.5% of the world production. They plan to achieve 250 000 000Mt in 2030 which will bring them in the 4% at best.
I missed something here, maybe they mean Tar sand + natural gaz.
About H2 economy, is there really any industrial (asides of GM..) who think that H2 will be deployed before 2050 ? When you hear the automakers (like ford in particular) complaining that the HEV powertrain is too expensive, good luck for a fuel cell car...
Posted by: Treehugger | October 30, 2007 at 09:22 PM
Chill, Linkboy.
Posted by: | October 30, 2007 at 11:05 PM
*sigh* It seems that we're not gonna do diddly until the Greenland icecap slides into the sea. And by then many things will have been lost forever.
Posted by: richard schumacher | October 31, 2007 at 08:30 AM
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aFfyKDytlrdE&refer=home
China is raising the price of gasolene/diesel by 8 %.
Time for the Oil companies and Govt's to tell about the difference between Light & Heavy Crudes and about the need for Hydrogen.
China has 200,000 CNG powered vehicles, and this price increase will increase CNG usage even more.
So why is OPEC not able to supply more LIGHT CRUDE, has it hit the peak.
Posted by: Max Reid | October 31, 2007 at 11:07 AM
There is only one good use for hydrogen: making syncrude!
Posted by: Engineer | October 31, 2007 at 12:09 PM
OPEC still has light crude, but much of that is sour.
Posted by: Neil | October 31, 2007 at 04:55 PM
OPEC has light crude, but they will preserve it for their growing population and future generations.
And they will sell the heavy crude to the rest of the world and try to make as much money.
Oil prices have crossed $95 / barrel in overnight trading.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aYfCUpckq3LI&refer=home
Oil companies will never say the real reason for rising prices, but for the consumer, its better to buy smaller and hybrid vehicles to save their money.
Posted by: Max Reid | October 31, 2007 at 06:28 PM
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This is a very critical factor, so as the supply of light crude decreases and heavy crude increases, the consumption of Hydrogen will increase and in the process, increasing the cost of gasolene.
Thats probably the reason, why the gasolene costs 50-60 cents more now than in Oct-2006.
Infact, the Crude that is going to come from Oil Sands in Canada is even more heavier and will
consume electricity/heat which is going to come from natgas.
All this put together will increase the price of natgas.
BTW, gas-to-liquids is a big flop as it consumes more energy and its economical to use natgas directly in natgas powered vehicles and already 7 million + vehicles are running on CNG.