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Europe Passenger Car Registrations Fell 14.5% in October
14 November 2008
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| Year-on-year change in passenger car registrations in Europe by country in October 2008. Click to enlarge. |
Demand for new passenger cars in Europe fell by 14.5% in October, according to figures published by the European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA). Reflecting the financial and economic crisis, new car registrations have now decreased for six consecutive months, most notably since the summer. Cumulative figures over January to October show a decline of 5.4%.
October new car registrations in Europe reached a total of 1,134,031 units. Registrations over the first ten months of the year added up to 12,852,387 new vehicles. No calendar effect occurred in October as the number of working days were about the same compared to 2007 across the whole region.
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| Demand for new passenger cars in Europe fell by 14.5% in October. Click to enlarge. |
Markets in Western Europe registered 1,034,955 new cars in October, or 15.5% less compared to last year. With the exception of Austria (+4.0%), all markets contracted. The Irish and the Spanish markets continued their sharply downward trend, plummeting -54.6% and -40.0% respectively in October, and down -18.2% and -23.8% over the first ten months of the year.
In Spain, registrations in October were the lowest since 1995. In the UK, demand for new cars was down 23.0%, with cumulative results from January to October showing an 8.8% decline. For the tenth consecutive month, new registrations were down on the Italian market (-18.9%), resulting in a 12.0% drop in the cumulative results. In Germany, October new car registrations were 8.2% lower than the already weak result of last year. In France, the market recorded a 7.4% fall. Ten months into 2008, both Germany and France still have a stable number of newly registered cars compared to 2007, recording a +0.3% and +2.2% change respectively over the year onto October.
Registrations of new cars in the new EU Member States also declined in October (-3.3%), with cumulative results holding grounds at a 2.5% plus over the first ten months of the year. The Polish market expanded in October (+12.3%), as well as from January to October (+9.0%), consolidating its position as the largest market in the region. Romania, despite a 10.6% fall in October remained the second biggest market.
The Volkswagen Group (Volkswagen, Audi, Seat and Skoda), the market leader, saw its total Europe new car registrations drop 7.6% in October 2008 year-on year to 249,948 units. PSA Group, the number two OEM, saw registrations down 16.3% to 145,493 units. Ford, the number three, saw an 11.9% drop to 111,971 units.
The Renault Group suffered a 19.1% drop to 101,644 units; GM saw registrations down 25.2% to 94,479 units; and the Fiat Group saw a 7.9% decline to 93,952 units. BMW dropped 10.4% to 66,242 units; Daimler was down 16.6% to 61,754 units, and Toyota 23.6% to 54,612 units.
November 14, 2008 in Sales | Permalink | Comments (5) | TrackBack (0)
Comments
Posted by: Joseph | November 14, 2008 at 06:31 AM
That's one way to look at it. The other way is that this is likely to represent pent-up demand, which can go to vehicles which are both cleaner and more fuel-efficient when they become available.
It's truly a pity that nobody's tried bringing the Tango to Europe.
Posted by: Engineer-Poet | November 14, 2008 at 06:40 AM
E-P:
I agree with you but more affordable, efficient, lower pollution vehicles must be available in time and the price of fuel will have to stop going much lower. Otherwise, the opposite may happen.
At an extra $10+K, many potential buyers may not be able to afford a PHEV during the current economic turmoil and may (unfortunately) decide to buy a much lower cost (surplus) gas guzzler.
For the transition to PHEVs to pick up speed, a bonus-malus program may be required. This could mean a $7.5K to $10K subsidy paid with a progressive fossil fuel tax.
Will the next administration dare do it?
Posted by: HarveyD | November 14, 2008 at 09:59 AM
EP:
The optimist in me sees in like that too. Hopefully this pent up demand will return just when dramatically more fuel efficient cars (and even marginally more efficient cars) will finally be built out, which will really get into significant production volume in the next couple of years. This is even more true in the US than it is in Europe.
Posted by: Dan A | November 14, 2008 at 10:22 AM
E-P:
Canadians must be living on another planet. Canada's car sales are still going up but there is a strong swing towards more efficient imported Japanese cars. Year to year results are:
- Big-3 = -5.4%
- All others = +8.8%
- All makes = +1.5%
- Toyota = +9.4
- Honda = + 1.0%
The current trend may change with the much lower Oil price in the last few weeks. The many Big-3 plants installed in southern Ontario will have to restrict production and even close down.
Posted by: HarveyD | November 15, 2008 at 10:29 AM
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This means more people are holding on to their older cars. This is bad news because legacy cars tend to pollute more than newer models.