Green Car Congress  
Go to GCC Discussions forum About GCC Contact  RSS Subscribe Twitter headlines

« Volvo Car Group tests road-embedded magnets for accurate positioning of self-driving cars | Main | CompactGTL announces 3,000 bpd commercial small-scale GTL project in Kazakhstan »

Print this post

Lux: biofuels face sharp slowdown to 3.2% annual growth as next-generation fuels emerge

11 March 2014

The 53.2 billion gallon a year (BGY) biofuel industry is poised for a sharp slowdown in capacity growth, to a 3.2% annual rate from 2013 to 2017—60.4 billion gallons—off from 19.6% annually from 2005 to 2013, according to a new report from Lux Research.

The sharp decline will be due to a significant industry transition to novel fuels and feedstocks, to enable long-term growth in the face of impediments such as the food vs. fuel debate and the imminent blend limits for biodiesel and ethanol. Next-generation biofuel—such as renewable diesel and butanol—that can offer higher blends, in contrast, are not quite mature.

To quantify global capacity expansion of biofuels, Lux Research analysts built a database of more than 1,700 biofuel production facilities in 82 countries with capacity data through 2017, besides evaluating leading technology providers.

Among their findings:

  • Ethanol’s dominance will continue. Ethanol, which accounted for 65.9% of global biofuel capacity in 2013, will slightly increase its share to 66% in 2017. Other fuels, such as renewable diesel, butanol, biojet and biocrude, will grow at a significantly higher 18.7% annual rate, but remain just 3.3% of all biofuels.

  • Renewable diesel leads next-generation biofuels. Driven by technology, renewable diesel will emerge as the leading next-generation fuel, attaining a capacity of 1.1 BGY in 2017. Renewable diesel from waste will emerge as a key biofuel process.

  • Growth of cellulosic ethanol will be slower. Companies led by Beta Renewables, POET-DSM and Abengoa have announced 782 MGY of cellulosic ethanol capacity but only 384 MGY will come to fruition.

The report, titled “Emerging Feedstocks and Fuels Spark Biofuel Capacity Expansion through 2017,” is part of the Lux Research Alternative Fuels Intelligence service.

March 11, 2014 in Brief | Permalink | Comments (2) | TrackBack (0)

TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.typepad.com/services/trackback/6a00d8341c4fbe53ef01a511819594970c

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Lux: biofuels face sharp slowdown to 3.2% annual growth as next-generation fuels emerge:

Comments

Bio-fuels production using edible feed stocks did not make common sense in the first place and will soon be replaced.

That was the whole idea with the Renewable Fuel Standard in 2007, but Congress did not watch nor manage the program. It said that most the the biofuel production increase would be using cellulose. So far POET is the major player using corn stover instead of corn grain.

Verify your Comment

Previewing your Comment

This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.

Working...
Your comment could not be posted. Error type:
Your comment has been posted. Post another comment

The letters and numbers you entered did not match the image. Please try again.

As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.

Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.

Working...

Post a comment

Green Car Congress © 2014 BioAge Group, LLC. All Rights Reserved. | Home | BioAge Group