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EPA: US greenhouse gases dropped 3.4% in 2012 from 2011; down 10% from 2005 levels

US greenhouse gas emissions by gas. Source: EPA. Click to enlarge.

The US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) released its 19th annual report of overall US greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, showing a 3.4% decrease in 2012 from 2011. The Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks, which is submitted annually to the Secretariat of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, presents a national-level overview of annual greenhouse gas emissions since 1990.

Total emissions of the six main greenhouse gases in 2012 were equivalent to 6,526 million metric tons of carbon dioxide. These gases include carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, hydrofluorocarbons, perfluorocarbons and sulfur hexafluoride. According to the report, GHG emissions in 2012 showed a 10% drop below 2005 levels, and were only slightly above the emissions in 1994 (6,520 million metric tons).

Annual US greenhouse gas emissions relative to 1990 (1990=0). Source: EPA. Click to enlarge.

The major contributors to the decrease in emissions from 2011-2012 were the decrease in energy consumption across all sectors in the US economy, and the decrease in carbon intensity for electricity generation due to fuel switching from coal to natural gas. Other factors included a decrease in transportation sector emissions attributed to an increase in fuel efficiency across different transportation modes and limited new demand for passenger transportation.

CO2 from fossil fuel combustion is the largest source of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions in the US and has accounted for approximately 78% of global warming potential (GWP)-weighted emissions since 1990; it remained approximately 78% of total GWP-weighted emissions in 2012.

Emissions of CO2 from fossil fuel combustion increased at an average annual rate of 0.3% from 1990 to 2012. The fundamental factors influencing this trend include:

  1. a generally growing domestic economy over the last 23 years;

  2. an overall growth in emissions from electricity generation and transportation activities, along with

  3. a general decline in the carbon intensity of fuels combusted for energy in recent years by most sectors of the economy.

Between 1990 and 2012, CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion increased from 4,745.1 Tg CO2 Eq. to 5,072.3 Tg CO2 Eq.—a 6.9% total increase over the 23-year period. From 2011 to 2012, these emissions decreased by 198.8 Tg CO2 Eq. (3.8%).

The five major fuel consuming sectors contributing to CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion are electricity generation, transportation, industrial, residential, and commercial. CO2 emissions are produced by the electricity generation sector as they consume fossil fuel to provide electricity to one of the other four end-use sectors. In the report, EPA distributes electricity generation emissions to each end-use sector on the basis of each sector’s share of aggregate electricity consumption.

2012 CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion by sector and fuel type. Source: EPA. Click to enlarge.

Transportation End-Use Sector. The primary driver of transportation-related emissions was CO2 from fossil fuel combustion, which increased by 16% from 1990 to 2012. This rise in CO2 emissions, combined with an increase in HFCs from close to zero emissions in 1990 to 72.9 Tg CO2 Eq. in 2012, led to an increase in overall emissions from transportation activities of 18%. The increase was due, in large part, to increased demand for travel with limited gains in fuel efficiency over the same time period.

The number of vehicle miles traveled by light-duty motor vehicles (passenger cars and light-duty trucks) increased 35% from 1990 to 2012, as a result of a confluence of factors including population growth, economic growth, urban sprawl, and low fuel prices during the beginning of this period, EPA said.

When electricity-related emissions are distributed to economic end-use sectors, transportation activities accounted for 34.4% of US CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion in 2012.

The largest sources of transportation greenhouse gases in 2012 were:

  • passenger cars (43.1%);
  • light duty trucks, which include sport utility vehicles, pickup trucks, and minivans (18.4%);
  • freight trucks (21.9%);
  • commercial aircraft (6.2%);
  • rail (2.5%); and
  • ships and boats (2.2%).

From 2011 to 2012, CO2 emissions from the transportation end-use sector decreased by 0.5%. EPA attributed the decrease largely to a small increase in fuel efficiency across different transportation modes and limited new demand for passenger transportation.

Carbon dioxide emissions from passenger cars and light-duty trucks totaled 1,061.0 Tg CO2 Eq. in 2012, an increase of 12% (110.6 Tg CO2 Eq.) from 1990. CO2 emissions from passenger cars and light-duty trucks peaked at 1,184.3 Tg CO2 Eq. in 2004, and since then have declined about 10%.

  • Passenger car CO2 emissions increased by 21% from 1990 to 2012;
  • light-duty truck CO2 emissions decreased by 6%; and
  • medium- and heavy-duty trucks increased by 70%.

Carbon dioxide from the domestic operation of commercial aircraft increased by 3% (3.4 Tg CO2 Eq.) from 1990 to 2012. Across all categories of aviation, CO2 emissions decreased by 22.5% (42.2 Tg CO2 Eq.) between 1990 and 2012.71 This includes a 65% (22.9 Tg CO2 Eq.) decrease in emissions from domestic military operations.

Commercial aircraft emissions have decreased 19% since 2007. Decreases in jet fuel emissions (excluding bunkers) are due in part to improved operational efficiency that results in more direct flight routing, improvements in aircraft and engine technologies to reduce fuel burn and emissions, and the accelerated retirement of older, less fuel efficient aircraft.

Almost all of the energy consumed for transportation was supplied by petroleum-based products, with more than half being related to gasoline consumption in automobiles and other highway vehicles. Other fuel uses, especially diesel fuel for freight trucks and jet fuel for aircraft, accounted for the remainder.



A hand to USA for the overall GHG reduction.

The best period was 2007 to 2009 with 9% in 2 years followed by 2010 t0 2012 with 5% in 2 years.

Major GHG reduction coincided with major economic down turns.

Transferring major industrial activities to China also help to reduce local emissions.

If reported correctly, the local shale NG and Oil production will offset GHG reduction in other sectors in 2013, as Tar Sands did in Canada?

Bob Wallace

Seems like most of the industrial moves were before 2007.


This all goes to show that the CAGW scare program is all but over. Hansen's 1988 call to action is and was baloney. The continued stasis in temperatures for over 17 years, confirm that the human 2-4% of CO2 emissions make little or no difference when natural CO2 emissions represent some 96-08% of CO2 emissions, and this natural level varies and the delta often exceeds by 5-10 times the entire human emissions. This harmless and very useful plant food gas is greening the planet by some 17% as the NASA satellites report.

More impressive still is the genuine cleanup of genuine harmful toxic emissions. That effort which fully merited the effort expended, is just about finished with only a few counties of the 2500 or so across the USA to mop up and bring to EPA Air Quality compliance like all the others.

Now the particle emissions like PM 10 and PM2.5 seem to be the subject sought by the EPA warriors seeking to justify their high paid sinecures. But deserts and dust associated with them have been with us for as long as Man has existed.

There is little or no early morbidity associated with populations dwelling there, so the PM 2.5 scare is a farce soon to fail.


@ D:

You are basing your arguments on logic, reasoning and rational science. I advise you to never enter politics since if you ever differ from the CAGW orthodoxy, you will be derided as someone worse than the worst war criminal on earth.

The PM2.5 hysteria is nonsense, as shown by various works by honest scientists such as James Enstrom.

The current NOx regulations are outright insane.

Sure, PM / NOx standards are necessary, but the bureaucratic megaliths don't stop regulating when science dictates they should, since this would mean they lose their un-elected government power.

There should be no new PM / NOx regulations after EPA/CARB2007 regs. Everything after that is overkill and is obvious evidence of bureaucratic nonsense. Of course, we live in interesting times where the movers/employers/producers have no say, and the silverSpoon/lazy/activist/liberals dictate law....

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