Update on the US Senate Energy Bill, Part 3; 44 Billion Gallon RFS, $10.2 Billion for Lower GHG Coal Projects
17 June 2007
The conventional and advanced biofuels portions of the original language and the new Coleman amendment. Click to enlarge. |
Although the volume of new amendments introduced to the energy bill under discussion on the Senate floor decreased on Friday, there were several major proposals.
An amendment (SA 1612) by Senator Norm Coleman (R-MN) proposed an expansion of the renewable fuels standard (RFS) to 44 billion gallons by 2022, with 30 billion of that coming from advanced biofuels—e.g., cellulosic ethanol. The current language in the bill proposes a 36 billion gallon RFS by 2022, with 21 billion of that coming from renewable fuels. Coleman is thus proposing a 43% bump in the production of advanced biofuels over the same timeframe.
The Senator also proposed an amendment requiring a study and report on using higher ethanol blends (such as E15 or E20) nationally. Adoption of an E20 standard would move the US closer to the Brazilian “gasohol” model.
Senator Jon Tester (D-MT) sponsored an amendment (SA 1614) that would establish a $200-million grant and $10 billion loan program for coal projects that deliver annual lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions of at least 20% below conventional baseline emissions and that capture and store at least 75% of the CO2 that otherwise would have been released to the atmosphere.
Senator Tester also put forward an amendment (SA 1617) that would require establishing a regulatory plan for the long-term sequestration of carbon dioxide.
Senator Susan Collins (R-ME) proposed (SA 1615) establishing an office of scientific research within NOAA to study abrupt climate change. Senator James Inhofe (R-OK) proposed a series of tax breaks for oil and gas exploration, production and refining (SA 1618-1622).
The Senate approved by voice vote SA 1524—a “Sense of the Senate” approving of the “20 by 25” goal (20% of US energy from renewable sources by 2025).
A table of the current status of amendments follows. Amendments with numbers in bold have been accepted; amendments with number stricken through have been rejected, tabled or withdrawn.
Proposed Amendments to Senate Energy Bill (amended H.R.6) 12 June 2007 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Amendment | Sponsor(s) | Title and/or notes | |
Inhofe and Thune | “Gas Price Act” Defeated 13 June by Yea-Nay vote of 52 to 43. Record Vote Number: 210 | ||
SA 1506 | Stevens and Landrieu | Energy Efficient Lightbulbs
| |
SA 1508 | Bayh, Brownback, Lieberman, Coleman, Salazar, Lincoln, Cantwell, Kerry, Dodd, Kohl, Reed, Collins, Nelson | Oil Savings Plan and Requirements. Directs the appropriate agencies of the Federal government to develop a plan to reduce oil consumption by:
SA 1508 agreed to in Senate by Yea-Nay Vote. 63 - 30. Record Vote Number: 209. | |
SA 1509 SA 1552 |
Craig | Geologic Mapping Reauthorization. Provides $640 million over 10 years (fiscal years 2007 through 2016) for updating and expanding geologic mapping of the US. | |
SA 1510 | Cochran | Increased Capacity of Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Raises the SPR to 1.5 billion barrels from current 1.0 billion barrels. | |
SA 1511 | Murkowski | Study of CAFE Standards for Commercial Trucks. NHTSA to conduct study of the anticipated economic impacts and fuel saving benefits that would result from vehicle fuel economy standards for medium- and heavy duty vehicles, as specified in the main body of the bill. | |
SA 1512 | Murkowski | Broadens the potential uses of funding proposed to support renewable energy projects in Section 215 of the bill. | |
SA 1513 | Murkowski and Stevens | Adds personnel hiring language to the Alaska Natural Gas Pipeline Act. | |
SA 1514 | Kerry and Sanders | Renewable Portfolio Standard.
| |
SA 1515 | Sanders, Clinton, Kerry, Biden, Salazar | Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Worker Training. Establishes a public program and funds other initiatives that provide training for jobs that are created through renewable energy and energy efficiency initiatives with authorized funding of $100 million per fiscal year. SA 1515 agreed to in Senate by unanimous consent. | |
SA 1516 SA 1533 |
Menendez | Evaluate the effect the laws (including regulations) limiting the siting of privately owned electric distribution wires on and across public rights-of-way might have on the development of combined heat and power facilities. | |
SA 1517 | Menendez | Expands the definition of “State”in the Energy Conservation and Production Act (42 U.S.C. 6862) to include the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico. | |
SA 1518 | Menendez | Prohibits oil and gas leasing in the Mid-Atlantic and North Atlantic planning area of the Outer COntinental Shelf. | |
SA 1519 | Kohl, Specter, Leahy, Grassley, Biden, Snowe, Feingold, Schumer, Coburn, Durbin, Lieberman, Boxer, Sanders | NOPEC—“No Oil Producing and Exporting Cartels Act of 2007”. Makes it illegal under the Sherman Act for foreign cartels to limit production of oil, natural gas or petroleum products, or to set or maintain prices. The Attorney General can sue. | |
SA 1520 | Cardin | Establishes a “National Commission on Energy Independence” for the US. | |
SA 1521 | Biden | Compact Fluorescent Lighting Grant Program. Establishes a program for grants to States for the distribution of medium base compact fluorescent lamps to households in the State. | |
SA 1524 | Salazar, Grassley, Obama, Harkin, Hagel, Lugar, Feingold, Clinton, Casey, Nelson (Nebraska), Brownback, Kohl, Kerry, Johnson, Tester, Cantwell, Thune, and Cochran | Sense of Congress. By 2025, a US goal of 25% of total energy consumed should be from renewable resources, while the US continues to produce safe, abundant, and affordable food, feed, and fiber. Adopted by voice vote, 15 June. | |
SA 1525 | Sanders | Standards for solar hot water heaters. | |
SA 1526 | Thune | Extension and modification of renewable electricity production credit. | |
SA 1527 | Thune | Extension of the ethanol tariff. Extends the tariff on imported ethanol through 2010. |
Proposed Amendments to Senate Energy Bill (amended H.R.6) 13 June 2007 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Amendment | Sponsor(s) | Title and/or notes | |
SA 1528 | Bingaman, Domenici | ||
SA 1529 | Bingaman and Domenici | Annual reports on the quantity, type, and cost of each lighting product purchased by the Federal Government. | |
SA 1530 | Pryor | Promotion of energy-saving performance contracts. | |
SA 1531 | Pryor | Energy and water evaluations and efficiency measures for the Federal government. | |
SA 1532 | Thune | Fast-track (180-day) approval of higher blends of ethanol for use in non-flex fuel vehicles for vehicles that receive a satisfactory review based on a study (also in the bill). | |
SA 1534 SA 1565 |
Nelson | Biofuels Investment Trust Fund. | |
SA 1535 | Cardin, Mikulski, Doss, Kerry, Reed, Kennedy, Whitehouse | Siting, construction, expansion and operation of LNG terminals. Federal government cannot approve or disapprove an application for an LNG terminal without the express concurrence of each State affected by the application. | |
SA 1537 | Bingaman, Cardin, Reid, Salazar, Snowe, Durbin | Renewable Portfolio Standard. A different timeline table and different end percentage:
| |
Domenici, McConnell, Craig, Bennett, Crapo, Graham, Murkowski | “Clean” Portfolio Standard. Amendment to SA 1537.
Defines clean energy to include nuclear generation, carbon capture and sequestration, energy efficiency or demand response programs. Tabled by a vote of 56-39, 14 June. | ||
SA 1539 | Akaka, Murkowski, Snowe | Marine and Hydrokinetic Renewable Energy Promotion. development of power generation from waves, tides and currents. | |
SA 1540 | Carper, Biden | Study of Offshore Wind Resources. | |
SA 1541 | Smith, Cantwell, Murkowski, Wyden | National Ocean Energy Research Centers. | |
SA 1542 | Brownback | Agricultural Byproduct Use Exposition. A trade-show for new products, such as plastics, carpets, disposable dishes, and cosmetics, produced by the entities from agricultural byproducts. | |
SA 1543 | Bayh, Brownback, Lieberman, Coleman, Salazar | GEM Flex-Fuel Vehicle. Expands definition of flex-fuel vehicle to include M85 (85% methanol, 15% gasoline). Gasoline-E85-M85 = GEM. | |
SA 1544 | Casey | Energy Security and Corporate Accountability Act of 2007. Targeted at oil companies. | |
SA 1545 | Enzi | Some escape clauses for the Renewable Fuels Standard. (Drives price of food up, impacts deliverability of goods, etc.) | |
SA 1546 | DeMint | Limitations on legislation that would drive up average fuel price for autos. | |
SA 1547 SA 1586 |
Tester, Bingaman, Reid, Murkowski, Stevens, Salazar, Akaka, Sanders, Snowe | National Geothermal Initiative Act of 2007. Declares a national goal to achieve at least 15% of total electrical energy production in the United States from geothermal resources by not later than 2030. Establishes an initiative to achieve that goal. $515 million from 2008 through 2012; sums as necessary 2013 through 2030. | |
SA 1548 | Durbin | Legislative branch fleet compliance with the efficiency sections of the bill. | |
SA 1549 | Kohl, Feingold, Burr | Use of highly energy-efficient commercial water heating equipment in Federal buildings. | |
SA 1550 | Wyden, Chambliss | Weighing Intelligence for Smarter Energy Act of 2007. Director of National Intelligence to submit to Congress a report on the long-term energy security of the United States. | |
SA 1551 | Cantwell | Federal Standby Power Standard. | |
SA 1556 | Lincoln, Domenici, Pryor, Craig, and Landrieu | Clarifies regulatory scheme for the application, transportation, or storage of livestock manure or poultry litter as energy or fuel production feedstock. | |
SA 1557 | Klobuchar, Snowe, Bingaman | National Greenhouse Gas Registry. Establishes a national greenhouse gas registry. | |
SA 1558 | Obama | Health Care for Hybrids. Federal government will reimburse automakers up to 10% of the total health care costs for retired autoworkers, with the caveat that at least 50% of the reimbursement is put research, development production and worker retraining for fuel-efficient vehicles. Program ends in 2017. | |
SA 1559 | Hagel | Energy-related Regulatory Reform. | |
SA 1560 | Hagel | Tax incentives for the production and conservation of energy. Includes special measures for cellulosic ethanol plants, ethanol pipelines, and coal-to-liquids facilities. | |
SA 1561 | Kohl | Establishes a Strategic Refinery Reserve. Refinery reserve represents excess production capacity that can be used in emergencies. Reserve refineries can be new or reopened closed refineries. |
Proposed Amendments to Senate Energy Bill (amended H.R.6) 14 June 2007 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Amendment | Sponsor(s) | Title and/or notes | |
SA 1562 | Dorgan and Craig | Domestic Offshore Energy Security Act. | |
SA 1563 | Dorgan, Craig and Kerry | Support for installation of E85 pumps at retail stations. | |
SA 1564 | Tester | Energy-Efficient Schools. Establishes a program to improve the energy-efficiency of, and use of renewable energy in, school buildings. | |
Warner | Authorizes governor of Virginia to petition for offshore gas exploration and extraction 50 miles off the coast. Rejected by Yea-Nay vote of 43-44, 14 June. | ||
SA 1567 | Bingaman and Domenici | Demonstration program for cost-effectiveness of advanced insulation. | |
SA 1568 | Bingaman and Domenici | Coordination of planned outages of refineries. | |
SA 1569 | Bingaman and Domenici | Amends technical criteria for proposed Clean Coal Power Initiative. | |
SA 1570 | Inhofe, Thune and Craig | Pollution audits and reports. Requires detailed bi-annual audit of any funds of more than $100,000 disbursed by National Pollution Funds Center. | |
SA 1571 | Hagel | Facilitate information sharing about and accelerate development of energy-related research. | |
SA 1572 | Salazar, Bayh, Brownback, Lieberman, Coleman, Cantwell, Lincoln, Clinton, Biden, Klobuchar, Durbin | Electric-Drive Transportation Program. Promotes the development of plug-in electric vehicles, deploying near-term programs to electrify the transportation sector, and including electric drive vehicles in the fleet purchasing programs. Agreed to by voice vote, 14 June. | |
SA 1573 | Bingaman, Klobuchar, Reid, Cardin, Salazar | Amendment to amendment SA 1537 (Renewable Portfolio Standard). | |
SA 1574 | Lautenberg | Federal Greenhouse Gas Emissions. Establishes a Federal Emissions Inventory Office within the EPA. | |
SA 1575 | Voinovich, Carper and Inhofe | Amends loan guarantee authority for commercial technology. | |
SA 1576 | Inhofe | Program to accelerate use of geothermal heat pumps at General Services Administration facilities. | |
SA 1577 | Martinez | Establishes a number of penalties and sanctions applied to persons who contribute to Cuba’s development of the undersea hydrocarbon resources off of its north coast. | |
Menendez, Lautenberg and Dole | Modifies amendment SA 1566 to require consent by states within 100 miles of the coastal waters of Virginia. Withdrawn, based on rejection of SA 1566. | ||
SA 1579 | Obama | National Low-Carbon Fuel Standard. Establishes a full lifecycle-based low-carbon fuel standard requiring reduction in average lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions per unit of energy of the aggregate quantity of fuels:
| |
SA 1580 | Bayh, Brownback, Lieberman, Coleman, Salazar | Adds methanol to listing of renewable fuels. | |
SA 1581 SA 1607 |
Gregg, Feinstein, Sununu, Kyl, Ensign | Elimination of ethanol tariff. | |
SA 1582 | Martinez | Encourages biofuel blenders to share credits with pipeline and common storage facilities. | |
SA 1583 | Martinez | Accelerates waiver procedure for fuel blends. | |
SA 1584 | Martinez | Categorization of certain blends of gasoline of not more than 3.7% oxygen, by weight, such that the gasoline is equivalent to E-10 gasoline. | |
SA 1585 | Lautenberg and Menendez | State liability for costs incurred by other States as a result of oil or natural gas spill from offshore production. | |
SA 1587 | Brown | Renewable Energy Innovation Manufacturing Partnership Program. Makes grants to eligible entities for use in carrying out research, development, and demonstration relating to the manufacturing of renewable energy technologies. | |
SA 1588 | Brown | Development of a carbon labelling system for goods sold in the US. | |
SA 1589 | Brown | Directs DOE to give financial assistance preference to higher-education for-profit partnerships involved in the development of liquid crystal, photovoltaic, and wind technologies. | |
SA 1590 | Brown | Adds “institutions of higher education, and nonprofit hospitals” to local government buildings for receiving assistance. | |
SA 1591 | Brown | Preference given to existing and former DOE facilities and sites for the conduct of projects and activities. | |
SA 1592 | Brown | Emissions standards for watercraft and small spark-ignition engines. | |
SA 1593 | Isakson | Amendment to alternative average fuel economy standard for low-volume manufacturers and new entrants. | |
SA 1594 | Durbin | Study of establishment of a refined petroleum product reserve. | |
SA 1595 | Kohl | Set asides for auto- and component-makers employing less than 500 people. | |
SA 1596 | Kohl | Study of adequacy of refining infrastructure. | |
SA 1597 | Inouye and Dorgan | Study of the adequacy of transportation of domestically-produced renewable fuel by railroads and other means of transportation. | |
SA 1598 | Inhofe | Adds Gas-to-Liquids and Coal-to-Liquids to renewable fuels standard. | |
SA 1599 | Inhofe | Study on modernization of the hydrocarbon reserves disclosures classification system of the Commission to reflect advances in reserves recovery from nontraditional sources (such as deep water, oil shale, tar sands, and renewable reserves for cellulosic biofuels feedstocks). | |
SA 1600 | Inhofe | Evaluation of Fischer-Tropsch Transportation Fuels. Originally part of SA 1505, which was rejected.
| |
SA 1601 | Inhofe | Enables sale of additional credits by the Federal government to refineries, blenders, and importers at a price of $1.00 per gallon of gasoline equivalent to meet obligations under the renewable fuels standard. | |
SA 1602 | Inhofe | Transitional assistance for farmers who plant dedicated energy crops for a local cellulosic ethanol facility. | |
SA 1603 | Brown | Amends performance goals for Federal government:
| |
SA 1604 | Schumer | Updates state building energy efficiency codes and standards. | |
SA 1605 | Schumer | State requirements for energy efficiency. | |
SA 1606 | Schumer | In the absence of Federal determination or a standard for energy-efficiency of an appliance, no State standard to be pre-empted. | |
SA 1608 | Corker | Expands definition of clean fuel: | |
SA 1609 | Thune | Report on electric transmission corridors. |
Proposed Amendments to Senate Energy Bill (amended H.R.6) 15 June 2007 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Amendment | Sponsor(s) | Title and/or notes | |
SA 1610 | Cardin, Mikulski, Dodd, Kerry, Reid, Kennedy, Whitehouse, Snowe | Expands definition of “Affected State” with respect to the siting, construction, expansion and operation of a liquefied natural gas terminal. | |
SA 1611 | Coleman | Broadens requirements for cellulosic ethanol facilities receiving guarantees and gives priority to projects to be carried out in communities with a population of 25,000 or less residents. | |
SA 1612 | Coleman | Requires report on effectiveness and practicability of national use of higher ethanol blend (such as E-15 or E-20) to achieve the most efficient expansion of ethanol use. | |
SA 1613 | Coleman | Renewable Fuel Standard. Sets expanded targets for renewable fuel standard along with more aggressive component requirement for advanced biofuels as part of that RFS. | |
SA 1614 | Tester, Byrd, Rockefeller, Salazar and Bingaman | Grant and Loan Program for Lower-GHG Coal Projects. | |
SA 1615 | Collins, Cantwell, Snowe, Murray | Abrupt Climate Change Research Program. Establishes an office within NOAA to carry out a program of scientific research on abrupt climate change. | |
SA 1616 | Durbin and Carper | Requires State and metropolitan planning organization to publish a report describing use of Federal funds to reduce gasoline demand, lower household transportation expenditures, and increase mass transit. | |
SA 1617 | Tester | Regulatory plan for the long-term geologic storage of carbon dioxide. Requires the President acting through the Chairman of the Council on Environmental Quality to develop a plan that includes elements such as performance standards; minimum sequestration times without leakage; maximum acceptable leakage; and certification standards. | |
SA 1618 | Inhofe | Allows 100% tax deduction of expenditures for qualified 3D seismic data. | |
SA 1619 | Inhofe | Eliminates taxable income limit on percentage depletion for oil and natural gas produced from marginal properties. | |
SA 1620 | Inhofe | Increases tax exemptions for independent producers and royalty owners. | |
SA 1621 | Inhofe | Increases phaseout threshold credit for producing oil and gas from marginal wells. | |
SA 1622 | Inhofe | Expands the definition of “small refiner” from 75,000 to 100,000 barrels per day. |
I don't know how they can do this.
None of them are smart enough or intelligent enough to be able to understand 1% of what they need to know to craft a bill that makes sense.
What we will eventually wind up with will be a monster, designed and constructed by committee.
God take pity on us all ...
Posted by: Lucas | 17 June 2007 at 01:07 PM
All bills come from committees.
Furthermore, they don't need to understand the chemistry or physics of oil exploration, ethanol production, or solar power to understand their role. They don't write the bills -- staff and constituents write the bills. I think you'd be surprised how much many congresscritters do understand when it comes to this stuff. I've spoken with about a half dozen at various political events, and all but one really understood the global warming, labor, general environmental business, and political tradeoffs of many different choices.
Posted by: stomv | 17 June 2007 at 01:55 PM
Keep It Simple, Senate... Cars, Coal and Concrete
Posted by: jcwinnie | 17 June 2007 at 02:38 PM
get ready for way higher gas prices due to congressman gone wild, refinery investment will all but dry up.
Posted by: Richard | 17 June 2007 at 02:56 PM
Lucas,
Reason for the more intelligent such as yourself to become a CongressCritter and explain it to them.
Richard,
fiscal responsibility in most sectors precludes investment in defunct technology - which petro-refinery is. Other hand, there is nearly unlimited upside for the alt-fuels/energy investor.
What appears missing are alt-energy investment tax credits. And a viable new consumer tax credit for alt-fuel vehicle purchases.
Posted by: gr | 17 June 2007 at 05:51 PM
GR:
Gasoline isn't obsolete yet and will not be for quite some time. We certainly can't fill our transportation fuel needs with corn ethanol and cellulose tech is still a dubious proposition. Ergo, we will need that refinery capacity.
Meanwhile, if refinery investment does dry up because of the expectation alt fuel will magically fill the void, the public will scream and shout at the oil companies for not expanding capacity as gas prices spiral higher and higher.
Rock and a hard place, no?
Posted by: Cervus | 17 June 2007 at 06:09 PM
GR I'll check back and see if your whinning about the cost of the defunct local gas prices you have to pay in about 4yrs.
Posted by: Richard | 17 June 2007 at 06:33 PM
GR, Cervus: Between better profits for limited refinery capacity, environmental and NIMBY limits, and an outlook for alternative fuels and vehicles, we are unlikely to see much increase in refining in this country. People may scream and shout -- hopefully they will also buy more fuel-efficient cars.
Rock and a hard place? Time for the hard decisions.
Posted by: JMartin | 17 June 2007 at 06:34 PM
JM:
They'll do more than scream and shout. They'll demand that their government protect them from "unreasonably high" gas prices. See the House proposal to impose a very poorly-worded law against price gouging. There are enough people out there who would not understand what is going on that would invite more government intervention and compound the problem--many will suspect another Enron-style engineered shortage. And they could even be right.
Posted by: Cervus | 17 June 2007 at 07:15 PM
Here's the problem, laid out in this MSNBC article.
Posted by: Cervus | 17 June 2007 at 07:28 PM
What use is more refineries if there not enough oil to refine?
Posted by: Ben | 17 June 2007 at 07:32 PM
The refineries are to prevent a natural disaster from squeezing the supply as much.
The oil companies wanted to build them and still do oddly enough but they dont want to act like they do so congress spends money encoraging em to.
Oil wants stable profitable prices.. high enough to finance alternates they are working on but not so high as to force congress to do something messy to thier bottom lines.
Also oil companies figure if they waited long enough someone might even want a refinery near them instead of all the nimby mess.
Posted by: wintermane | 17 June 2007 at 07:58 PM
Cervus: You may be right about screaming and shouting over gas prices, but I expect there will also be a huge outcry over food prices. Just saw a piece on TV about food price inflation due to use of corn for ethenol. When the public hears that and sees the prices, both Congress and the Auto companies will hear about it.
Posted by: JMartin | 17 June 2007 at 09:30 PM
JM:
Corn prices are up to about $4.30 a bushel as of tonight. But the politicians want more corn ethanol. We really, really need to freeze the amount we get from corn and either buy more from Brazil or take the plunge and start building cellulosic production facilities. I think some Congressmen are aware of the problem, but it's hard to stop a rock this size once it's rolling downhill.
Posted by: Cervus | 17 June 2007 at 09:34 PM
Richard,
In two years I am expecting the local fuel Coop to be selling E85 for which I will trade in my 4 banger petro for a flex fuel vehicle. In four years I would hope to be driving a PHEV, preferably the VOLT, spending zero dollars on petro and happily amortize the investment against $.066 kWh electric rates at night.(BC, North American market). Oh yeah, I'll also be continuing to bike to local destinations while physically able.
I have no problem with enabling current refinery capacity to maintain rate stability - since refineries operate now with no buffer against cartel hikes, natural disaster or operational failure/interruption - hence the "reason" for gouging hikes. The capacity exists - the petro game is convincing the public it does not.
My point is simply the sooner consumers buy efficiency and alt-fuel capable vehicles - the less we are held hostage by gasping big oil that sees money coming off the table at an alarming rate.
Posted by: gr | 17 June 2007 at 09:56 PM
Cervus,
agreed that the reluctance to roll out cellulosic is a bottleneck that must be addressed by THIS energy bill. We are well aware that corn is a limited transitional ethanol feedstock.
What is somewhat annoying is the mystification of these technologies. The facts are you take biomass like fruit, veggie or husk matter, crush it, add yeast to start fermentation and in 50-60 hours you got mostly ethyl alcohol which is combustible in ICEs. People have been fermenting fruit/veg for 20,000 years, eh what?
Granted cellulosic requires added steps to break down the husk/wood stock - but hey, are we paying for military to control foreign lands to drill 3 mile holes in deserts and arctic terrains, for oil we transport by multi-billion dollar pipelines to billion dollar tankers to billion dollar refineries - threatening the biosphere at each step - to produce gasoline that we transport to distribution, then to retail and pump into vehicles that cause it to explode in a terrifying contraption called the internal combustion engine??? The preceding qualifies for a clinical definition of "energy insanity" IMHO.
The facts are that distilling ethanol even with the entire cellulosic input cycle factored, is a FAR less costly & complex process than oil exploring/ drilling/ refining. $2.00 E85 is a plausible price point.
And if the liquid fuel proponents want to stay viable - they will need to maintain those price points since $.10 or even $.20 kWh electricity looms very large on the horizon. And combusting anything looks very primitive by comparison.
Posted by: gr | 17 June 2007 at 10:53 PM
Again legislators are trying to pick winning technologies in advance. Look how far hydrogen went. An alternative approach may be to say next year's GHG target is X tons from all sources. There will be no per-gallon subsidies but there may be research grants for new concepts. The 'winning' energy mix could be something no-one thought of.
Posted by: Aussie | 18 June 2007 at 05:21 AM
No, my question was why build more refineries if oil peaks, and the evidence is clear that it will peak soon (if it has not already) there won't be enough oil to match demand let alone fill existing refineries to 100% capacity.
PHEV and EV seem like a good answer: we have plenty of wasted off-peak electricity because most power plants can't vary there output efficiently. If most cars went EV for 40 miles that would take out ~50% of gasoline (25% of oil).
Posted by: Ben | 18 June 2007 at 05:44 AM
Ben,
OPEC exists solely to limit well production so that per barrel rates remain high. OPEC can pump at near capacity for another thirty years without flinching. Our suggestion is rapid adoption of alt-fuels and infrastructure forces refineries and cartels to stabilize pricing at lower competitive rates due to lower demand.
There are several important issues missing from this giant legislation - a few off the top are:
1) A comprehensive analysis of renewable and "clean" resources on a State/geographic basis with the goal to map a fair 30 year alt energy adoption plan.
2) Intensive competition to implement neutralization and or recycling of nuclear (fission) waste materials open to all sectors with national contracts awarded to winning technology.
3) Grants and incentives for micro-algal biodiesel and algal H2 production.
4) One year firm target for adoption of UL or other safety standard for ethanol infrastructure pumps & equipment.
5) Bio-butanol included in alt-fuel definitions.
6) Firm GHG limits for new coal plants.
7) Intensified effort by trade, diplomacy and technology transfer to include China and India in Kyoto-type emission targets.
The overall energy solution is a mix of technologies, lifestyle conservation, and mindset adoption that emphasizes a re-balance of human activity with the natural biosphere. This legislation is only a first, awkward step toward the final goal of a Type 1, sustainable planet.
Posted by: gr | 18 June 2007 at 07:18 AM
Wow, what a list. Great work compiling that.
I'm particularly interested in:
SA 1545, Enzi - Some escape clauses for the Renewable Fuels Standard. (Drives price of food up, impacts deliverability of goods, etc.)
or perhaps that in combination with:
SA 1546, DeMint - Limitations on legislation that would drive up average fuel price for autos.
I hope the 1545 "escapes" come at reasonable prices and that 1546 isn't going to close off GW options.
Posted by: odograph | 18 June 2007 at 07:45 AM
Unfortunately, automobiles are only the tip of the iceburg where energy requirements are concerned. Once you factor in all land, sea and air modes of transportation, including commercial, governmental services, (Federal, state, county and local) recreational, military, individual automobiles, trucks etc, the requirements are mind-boggling. And we must include all heavy construction equipment, mass transit, etc.
In my opinion, our need for gasoline/diesel worldwide will increase, so fefinery capacity is, and will be critical for decades.
I wish it were otherwise, but it isn't.
Posted by: shigley | 18 June 2007 at 08:24 AM
shigley,
90 percent of the systems you list utilize ICE and liquid fuels. There is already R&D progress on a bio-kerosene replacement for jet turbines. What appears to be a daunting massive problem becomes less so with categorization of needs.
Consumer transportation followed by industry xportation, military, governmental. Each category leverages the next as they convert to new resources.
Government fleet conversion to alternative fuels is a key to driving manufacturing volume up to lower consumer pricing. Just a step at a time.
Posted by: gr | 18 June 2007 at 09:41 AM
gr-
Can't disagree with you that all levels of government must lead the way in the use of biofuels (along with commercial fleets) to get the numbers up. Then hopefully the demand for refined gasoline will be replaces with "refined" biofuels, over time. But what about infrastructure? E85 seems to be the closest to volition, but try finding E85 in a local service station in the Northeast, although tens of thousand of E85 compatible vehicles are on the road.
Of course we haven't discussed stationary heating, cooling, lighting, power generating, and hundreds of other uses of refined fuels that are not tied to the automobile industry.
That's a lot of biofuel processing and we have yet to settle on the most efficient feedstock, or, the processing and distribution methods and energy consumption.
I hope you're right, and that biofuels are years, not decades away.
Posted by: shigley | 18 June 2007 at 02:00 PM
WHAT IS THE SENATE & HOUSE OF REPRESANTATIVES DOING ABOUT GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH TO PRODUCE ELECTRIC ENERGY
Posted by: DONALD TUCKER | 19 June 2007 at 04:39 AM
Where does this list come from? Where can one find the text of specific amendments?
Posted by: James Hamilton | 19 June 2007 at 05:35 AM