Envisat Provides Data Showing Regionally Elevated CO2 from Man-made Emissions
18 March 2008
Using data from the SCIAMACHY instrument aboard the European Space Agency’s (ESA) Envisat environmental satellite, scientists have, for the first time, detected regionally elevated atmospheric carbon dioxide originating from man-made emissions.
Dr. Michael Buchwitz from the Institute of Environmental Physics (IUP) at the University of Bremen in Germany and his colleagues detected the relatively weak atmospheric CO2 signal arising from regional anthropogenic CO2 emissions over Europe by processing and analysing SCIAMACHY data from 2003 to 2005.
The findings show an extended plume over Europe’s most populated area, the region from Amsterdam in the Netherlands to Frankfurt, Germany.
The natural CO2 fluxes between the atmosphere and the Earth’s surface are typically much larger than the CO2 fluxes arising from manmade CO2 emissions, making the detection of regional anthropogenic CO2 emission signals quite difficult.
This does not mean, however, that the anthropogenic fluxes are of minor importance. In fact, the opposite is true because the manmade fluxes are only going in one direction whereas the natural fluxes operate in both directions, taking up atmospheric CO2 when plants grow, but releasing most or all of it again later when the plants decay. This results in higher atmospheric CO2 concentrations in the first half of a year followed by lower CO2 during the second half of a year with a minimum around August.
—Dr. Michael Buchwitz
Buchwitz says further analysis is required in order to draw quantitative conclusions in terms of CO2 emissions.
We verified that the CO2 spatial pattern that we measure correlates well with current CO2 emission databases and population density but more studies are needed before definitive quantitative conclusions concerning CO2 emissions can be drawn.
—Dr. Buchwitz
Significant gaps remain in the knowledge of carbon dioxide’s sources, such as fires, volcanic activity and the respiration of living organisms, and its natural sinks, such as the land and ocean.
We know that about half of the CO2 emitted by mankind each year is taken up by natural sinks on land and in the oceans. We do not know, however, where exactly these important sinks are and to what extent they take up the CO2 we are emitting, i.e., how strong they are.
We also don’t know how these sinks will respond to a changing climate. It is even possible that some of these sinks will saturate or turn into a CO2 source in the future. With our satellite measurements we hope to be able to provide answers to questions like this in order to make reliable predictions.
—Dr. Buchwitz
More than 30 billion tonnes of extra carbon dioxide (CO2) is released into the atmosphere annually by human activities, mainly through the burning of fossil fuels.
Hmmm. Looks like lots of hot air blowing out of Brussels to me.
Posted by: Matthew | 18 March 2008 at 12:33 PM
Note that more than 50% of Belgian electricity production is nuclear. Immagine the color of the map if they would be closed.
Posted by: Alain | 18 March 2008 at 01:46 PM
Interesting imaging technique, but it suggests that the Benelux countries are producing much more CO2 than Germany's Ruhr area, which seems unlikely. The prevailing winds appear to be skewing the result.
Even so, the difference between Amsterdam and Salzburg is just 5 ppm or ~1%. If anything, this just underlines that anthropogenic CO2 disperses quickly and widely, proving it is neither a local nor a regional air quality problem.
If you subscribe to the notion that anthropogenic CO2 poses a serious problem in the long run, only international co-operation has any chance of addressing it. Luxembourg for example has very high per-capita CO2 emissions only because it is home to Arcelor's primary steel works. Producing the steel elsewhere, e.g. outside the EU, would make the numbers look better but have no effect on global CO2 emissions.
Posted by: Rafael Seidl | 18 March 2008 at 03:56 PM
There aree several statements made that are in outright error. Silviculture and agriculture are human endeavors that man has pursued for ten thousand years.
Both are atmospheric reducers of CO2. Not all activities are ONE WAY INTO the atmosphere as stated here. This study is actually nothing new. The technology and ability to measure over distance is new.
Eighteenth century scientists including at least four Nobel winners who measured atmospheric content in the atmsophere, noted that the prevailing direction of the wind would cause their measurements to change. They attributed this to the industrial Ruhr Valley since they were measuring the air in Europe. And their research dates from as early as 1830, throughout the century!
By the bye, they also reveal a monthly CO2 cycle that was unknown to the Moana Loa CO2 observatory until they inspected their data carefully in view of these recovered old atmsopheric studies. These Hawaiian scientists found the monthly cycle that the 18th century scientists had deduced, but that Moana Loa had overlooked, so minor was the monthly fluctuation.
Long disregarded these old science reports are now studied in lieu of using vague proxies for CO2 content. They reveal CO2 levels varied from 270 to 350 ppm back in the 18th century, The ignorant Science of the 1960s said these levels could never occur above 280 and that was the "normal" preindustrial level. No such thing.
I welcome such studies though. If applied to North America, it should serve to establish without question, the CO2 levels over vast areas, such as the CO2 levels entering and leaving the North America on the prevailing winds. It can establish whether the spot evidence that North America is a Sink not a Source of CO2, so counter to conventional wisdom, is valid based on more than the fragmentary scientific evidence available.
Posted by: Stan Peterson | 18 March 2008 at 04:03 PM
Stan:
"Silviculture and agriculture...are atmospheric reducers of CO2"
Do what?!!
Silviculture (properly managed) is basically carbon neutral with sequestered carbon released by biomass decomposition / burning. Note, though, that under man there has been a lot of carbon released by forest clearance to make way for agriculture. In the UK, for instance, we have lost 90% of our woodland over the last 500 years (http://www.chm.org.uk/library/ecosys/forest/for001.htm).
Have you heard of the massive scale deforestations in the Amazon and Borneo?
As for agriculture, modern practices deplete soil carbon
(http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/10/071029172809.htm
http://agriculture.senate.gov/Hearings/Hearings_2001/March_29__2001/0329kin.htm).
On top of that, the production of nitrogen fertilisers is very energy intensive (more CO2 emissions) and its application leads to N2O (greenhouse gas) emissions from the land. As for the explosion in livestock numbers (especially ruminants) and their methane emissions....
So Stan, engage brain / sense of reality and please reduce your application of organic fertiliser.
Posted by: Thomas Lankester | 19 March 2008 at 03:58 AM
A better understanding all of the parameters involved in the carbon cycle is a very good bit of knowledge to gain.
Having readily available mapping of CO2 production and uptake will point out problem areas that are easiest to address. By picking the low hanging fruit quickly, we can make faster initial improvements. Better numbers are evidence to enforce better co-operation .
Posted by: John Taylor | 19 March 2008 at 04:12 AM
"Eighteenth century scientists including at least four Nobel winners ... " Quite longlived those scientists (would you mind to tell us who they were?), since the first Nobel prize was awarded in 1901, which if I recall correctly was the 20th century. But hey, don't let minor facts get in your way.
Posted by: Petroleo | 19 March 2008 at 04:44 AM
@ Mr Lankester,
Lots of the carbon in growing plants is fixed from atmospheric CO2, especially in the case of trees. It is proportionately, almost all. So these activities are carbon sequestration activities, until or whether they give up the carbon after death.
Those plants that are not fully de-composed, or are buried, such as plant stubble, or trees are sequestered for considerable time, and may become peat, lignite, and eventually coal in a few million years. Is that a sufficient length of time for you to sequester CO2?
Your comment about N20 would be real, except that modern farming practices have led to effective control of N20. Or did you not know that?
If you survey the SCIENTIFIC literature, as opposed to donation soliciting pseudo-scientific appeals, you will discover that even the IPCC now declares that "the N2O problem" no longer exists and is in remission. Levels of N2O in the atmosphere are now in control and actually dropping. Making N2O no longer a GHG problem. See IPCC AR4. Indeed all GHG gases, Hydro-fluorocarbons, CH4, N20, except for CO2, are in control and are now stable or declining. See AR4.
As to your comment about deforestation, please survey the SCIENTIFIC literature once again. On net, the world is reforesting, lead by North America, but including Europe, despite celebrated examples of deforestation, meant to engender donations, to environmental organizations.
It is not even totally clear that, on net, the Amazon basis is being deforested. Certainly some areas are, but others are returning to forest. One effect of rising atmospheric CO2 levels is the fertilizer effect on plants. The biomass of the Amazon forest has increased significantly. Once again I urge you to solicit and investigate the SCIENTIFIC literature. I have seen no papers discussing Borneo's forest, so I withhold any comment about that.
In your desire to paint every possible out come as dire, please note that conversion of marginal farmland to reforested areas, results in a rise in Albedo over the large areas that are abandoned, left fallow, and return to forest.
Conversely, the poor farmers who abandon their hard scrabble subsistence farming, join the urban areas enlarging them. This serves to reduce the Albedo over the expanding urban areas. But there is no comparison in area extent measures. The reforested areas dwarf the expanding urbanization areas. On net, the Earth keeps much less incident radiation, reflecting more to space, as the LULLC changes resulting in a net rise of the Albedo.
This provides a net global cooling effect. Presumably what you seek.
If silviculture and agriculture were not sequestration activities, what pray tell would be the source of the Carbon Credits to be sold to those seeking amelioration indulgences? This is the supposed "deus ex market" that environmentalists offer as a AGW cure.
You cannot have a true market when all are buyers and no one has anything to sell, or the converse, unless there are fiat indulgences created by government for politically favored people to sell. In that case, there is no benefit, as buying indulgences with fiat indulgence currency, results in no true amelioration of the original putative AGW problem.
Posted by: Stan Peterson | 19 March 2008 at 10:20 AM
According to the US forestry service the amount of forests peaked in the 60's and is declining not increasing. Growing forests sequester carbon, not fully grown ones at least not in the amounts that you suggest Stan. In fact, forests in the temperate areas of the globe ie North Am, may decrease the albedo and the amount of radiation absorbed accelerating warming. This would be of greater impact in the tundra where temperatures are warming faster and white permafrost is replaced with darker vegatation and stored carbon is released as methane.
In 2005, the US consumed 564204 ktoe (kilotonnes oil equivalent)and 322552 ktoe of oil. You act as if this previously sequestered carbon (from million of years) will just be taken up by plants after it is combusted and not stay in the atmosphere and effect things. Obviously not, since the levels are going up dramatically. You are also assuming that the plant removed CO2 will stay in place. That too is not the case. There is a point of deminishing returns to the amount of carbon that the open ground will hold. And there is always the case that it could burn like the fires in the SW US.
http://www.iea.org/Textbase/stats/balancetable.asp?COUNTRY_CODE=US
In 2004, 7.4 Gt of carbon were released, creating approximately 27 Gt of CO2. In 2006, this amount increased to 8.4 Gt of carbon, generating a little over 30 Gt of CO2. There is presently about 3000 Gt of CO2 in the atmoshere. Natural sources of CO2 (decomposing plants, soil aerobical activity, normal metabolism of living creatures, techtonics)(approx. 220 Gt/year) used to balance natural sinks (growing plants, oceanic conveyer, water, carbon containing rock (ie. calcium carbonate rock) formation) before humans started to wholesale burn this old carbon. When that old carbon was sequestered, the atmosphere contained much higher levels of CO2 and the climate was much less hospitable to people.
Regular agriculture has allowed soil sequestered carbon to be released. Allowing the land to revert back may allow additional takup of carbon but in the case of the US, the total forested land is basically slowly shrinking, most likely due to slow urban sprawl rather than increases in agricultural use. Marginal farming land has been long abandoned since modern practices require large capital investments of land and machinery. There is also a difference in totally destroying a forest, using the land, and then when a forest is replanted calling it forest growth.
CFC's have risen since 1998, and have reached a peak in 2003 but still contribute alot to the GH effect and are long lived. N2O continues to rise linearly according the IPCC report.
http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg1/ar4-wg1-chapter2.pdf
If silviculture and agriculture were not sequestration activities. They are not sequestration activities. They are alternative energy strategies. The carbon that is already in the atmosphere gets turned into plants then into fuel to be used before it gets returned to the atmosphere. This offsets the use of previously sequestered carbon ie coal and oil.
Yes stan call it an indulgence just to justify your predujicial attitude but what other market mechanism would internalize the very real costs of carbon and CO2 induced climate change.
In the catholic church, the selling of indulgences were concentrated in a short small period of history when the church was rebuilding. Indulgences are given today for good acts and proscribed ritual activities. Visiting a shrine and doing the rituals there will get you an indulgence. It uses a material act now to get an immatural reward and maybe a material reward as in a better more stable society. Carbon credits are a material act that contribute directly to a material reward. By getting money into poorer hands, they decreae the cost of increasing energy intensity and help out struggling economies and businesses. They promote new technologies.
You keep mentioning scientific studies that support your claims. In fact you capitilize "science" as if your viewpoint of them is so much more based on reasoning than the mainstream view. Let's see the references and links to specific peer reviewed information, rather than your scorn and what is obviously second-hand information.
Posted by: aym | 19 March 2008 at 02:38 PM
@Stan
Speaking as a geologist, which, despite your various jibes is still regarded as a science, the sequestration provided by vegetation is transitory and generally in balance. We are talking on the scale of the carbon cycle (~100 years). Under certain circumstances carbon is more permanently sequestered where anaerobic conditions prevail over the normal, CO2 neutral, aerobic decomposition processes. Permafrost, peat wetlands and the everglades are good examples as were the forests of the Carboniferous Period where fluctuating sea levels on broad swathes of the continental margins repeatedly flooded and buried thick peat deposits leading to coal.
And there is the rub. We can burn off millions of years of natural sequestration far faster than we can replant woodland.
The difference in time scale perspective is also seeming to cause some confusion. Assuming that your use of the word reforestation is correct, then, by definition, this is replacement of forest that was removed in the past. A classic example, from my time living in Maryland, was the reforestation that occurred on previous agricultural land that had become uneconomic to farm in the face of competition from the vast farms further west in the US. Areas of the Amazon that are returning to forest are, in your own words, "returning to forest". Over the time scales of hundreds of years that I was referring to, there has been net deforestation. A partial return merely refixes some of the carbon released by previous actions by man. Only with genuine afforestation (for instance some examples from the flow country of Scotland) can additional carbon sequestration be claimed.
Note that natural reforestation can hardly be considered as 'silviculture' which was the original topic of conversation.
Again, with N2O, the most up-to-date agricultural practices might reduce emission but only in relation to previous (20th Century) practice using artificial nitrogen fertilizer generated on industrial scales with the advent of the Haber process. As N2O has an atmospheric life time of 120 years (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse_gas), we will be living with the legacy of agricultural practice for most of this century.
As to what I 'seek', as a scientist that would be truth and greater understanding.
As a father, I WANT, net cooling but with the decrease in the Arctic ocean ice cover and observed increases in melting on the Greenland ice cap (the larger ice grains resulting from freezing have a lower albedo than fresh snow), I am not sure that we are getting it. Only the long term satellite observations (such as ENVISAT MERIS Albedo Level 3 composites) can answer that one.
As Carbon Credit markets 'supposed "deus ex market" that environmentalists offer as a AGW cure' Bit of a straw man that as there are a lot of environmentalists who are sceptical about the trustworthiness and effectiveness of markets.
Finally Stan, for the record, that'll be Dr Lankester.
Posted by: Thomas Lankester | 19 March 2008 at 03:18 PM
So, Dr Lankester, why exactly you wish your kids to live in colder world?:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/11/071121112917.htm
Posted by: Andrey Levin | 20 March 2008 at 08:03 AM
@Andrey
To be clear: I, personally, want net cooling with respect to the current warming trend i.e. I want climate stability (not another glaciation!). As your Science Daily reference points out Andrey, change in climate, sea level etc. can affect stability (political, agricultural, etc.).
The geological record shows that the of Earth's climate can naturally change very rapidly through a number of non-linear positive feedback loops that overcome the more prevalent negative feedback loops. It can act like a big grumpy bear. As we know that certain gases in the atmosphere affect the planet's energy balance, it seems prudent not to change the concentration of those gases by tens of percent (35% for CO2, 65% for methane).
If you have a big grumpy bear, don't deliberately go poking it with a stick :)
Back on topic: I hope ENVISAT can continue its exemplary job providing global monitoring of various aspects of the planet's environment until at least 2013 when the replacement Sentinel missions start to come on stream.
Posted by: Thomas Lankeser | 21 March 2008 at 12:38 AM