Tällberg Forum Launches 350 ppm CO2 Initiative
23 June 2008
The Tällberg Forum has launched an international campaign focused on limiting the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere to 350 ppm. This is a follow-up to the objective proposed by the NASA’s James Hansen and his colleagues that the 350 ppm target is required to avoid global climate change with potentially very large and irreversible effects on human society and the natural environment. (Earlier post.)
The Tällberg Forum is holding an international conference in Sweden from 26-29 June to discuss how to achieve this lower level through “The Perfect Agreement and its Perfect Implementation” as an idealized design of a global deal that will serve as a benchmark for the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The Convention is aiming to reach an international climate change agreement in Copenhagen in December 2009.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), in its 4th Assessment report, has indicated that achieving a 2ºC target will mean stabilizing greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations in the atmosphere at about 445 to 490 ppm CO2 equivalents. This includes a number of greenhouse gases (not only carbon dioxide), and corresponds to about 400 ppm CO2 alone. A stabilization at 400 ppm CO2 equivalents corresponds to about 350 ppm CO2.
To get to the 350 ppm CO2 target put forward by Dr Hansen, the total greenhouse gas concentration will need to fall to about 400 ppm CO2 equivalents. This is at the low end of a range of stabilization concentration possibilities, according to the European Environment Agency.
James Hansen and Kofi Annan, former UN general-secretary are among King Carl XVI Gustaf of Sweden’s guests at the Tällberg Forum.
This is what we need to alleviate the worst of AGHW.
Not the current fossil fuel think tanks targets of 500ppm-650-750-1200ppm.
Just know thats the proposal.
Posted by: arnold | 23 June 2008 at 02:50 PM
Hanson's and IPCC's credibility is at an all-time low in part because:
"Exaggeration leads the coalition of disbelief."
February ABC/Washington Post Poll of mainstream (Texas & Ohio) Democrats puts "environment" as a concern at 0.0 and less than 0.5% - well below the issue of "Ethics/Honesty/Corruption in government."
http://media.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postpoll_022108.html
Posted by: sulleny | 23 June 2008 at 05:59 PM
The Tällberg Forum best suggest a plan for achieving this reduction. So far people just get scared that the plan is to freeze in the dark with no jobs.
May I offer a few ideas and suggestions for inclusion in a real green plan ...
World wind power to be installed at full capacity with each country heavily investing in the manufacture and installation of large wind turbines.
A new program of 5 to 10 kw wind machines for home use and to be installed on most all electric utility poles. (except those few obstructed by trees etc).
World photo voltaic production and installation to be funded by special low interest loans guaranteed by each involved country.
We need a full roof system that clips together, bolts directly to the rafters, and is structurally sound and waterproof. This needs to be "open-source" so all companies can make product sections that are compatible. A consumer might have roof voltaic sections from one source, and water heating from another and air heating from a third, but with all of them making a single functioning easy-to install-roof.
Have roofs and roads be white or at least light colored to improve our intercity albedo.
Work on an inter-country HVDC system for shifting power to places it is needed.
Phase out coal, oil, gas and then nuclear power stations as wind and solar become installed to greater amounts. The decommissioned power stations can make hydrogen with any oversupply of renewable power and return this as peaking power or emergency power. Hopefully even better power shifting methods will be found.
The transportation sector will need to switch to electric cars. Insist all car companies make these available, and place recharging "pay-for-plugs" at all major shopping plazas. Also invest in proven battery technology to make high capacity battery production plants.
Energy saving methods need stepped up.
Make high efficiency LED lights the new lighting standard and see they get mass produced to bring the price of the new best technology down.
Buildings use a lot of power. There are a huge number of ways that new buildings can be made safer and more energy efficient. It would be nice to see a "World wide building standard" for safety and efficiency that all countries could easily adopt. This would simplify the introduction of new technology as it would be a 'one-stop' standards approval test, not a separate red tape hurdle in each country.
The good news is that this is do-able and at a profit for all involved. The penalty for not doing anything is catastrophic.
Posted by: John Taylor | 23 June 2008 at 07:14 PM
John:
Why so many people think that cleaning up the planet will reduce US jobs while it may very well create many new jobs.
Phasing out 800+ million ICE vehicles and replacing them with 1000++ million cleaner more efficient PHEVs and BEVs will create many new jobs for 3+ decades.
Electrifying the rail system will create many new jobs for the next 40-60 years.
Massive investment in Wind and Solar industries-power plants will create many new jobs.
Phasing out the dirty coal fired power plants and building 100+ new nuclear plants will create many new jobs for the next 50 years.
Building more suburban electric trains and electric subways will create many more jobs for the next 100 years.
Upgrading and maintaining the national power grid will create many more new jobs.
The non-food agro-fuel industry will create many more jobs than imported oil.
Of course, millions will have to be re-trained and that will create many more jobs.
If the transition is well planned, there will be so many new jobs, that all the soldiers will have to be repatriated.
The USA-Mexico border may have to be re-opened.
Etc, etc
Posted by: HarveyD | 24 June 2008 at 07:31 AM
John Taylor:
Your ideas and suggestions are good ones. You and HarveyD recognize the need to position sustainability as a growth industry. This step alone will significantly lower resistance to alternative/renewable energy policy. There are many other cogent reasons to pursue the sustainability path - many of which were well articulated by Raphael Seidel on April 6th in GCC.
I do have a problem with global building standards that are not adapted to regional and cultural architecture and aesthetics. Currently in North America we use the LEED, Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design Green Building Rating System™ as the predominate sustainable standard. The danger globally is that we sacrifice regional aesthetics for "efficiency." There should be a significant global scale discussion of our direction in this regard.
To disregard architectural innovation, imagination and aesthetic influences in setting building standards will be a disaster. Greater even IMO than energy inefficient building. The quality of life on the planet depends in part on its inhabitant's expression of choice and taste. This includes choice of place to live, home design, clothing, food, art, expression etc. The trouble with energy efficient building "standards" is the architecture is abominable. It is ugly, cookie cutter repetitive, housing tract design - that may be efficient but is environmentally damaging in as much as it makes the world but-ugly.
Technological efficiencies cannot and must not be the arbiter of what gets built on Earth. Aesthetics and beauty is as much if not more important in the long run. To live in a world of bland but efficient architecture recalls the sorry days of Soviet concrete housing blocks - livable but ugly as si-n.
Posted by: gr | 24 June 2008 at 10:30 AM
As the global warming scam comes apart, the howling, hysterical claims get wilder and wilder.
As I recall that AGW, would kill two thirds of the population; inudate all the coastal cities 60 feet deep; and millions of species would go extinct. Life as we know it would be ending, that winter. Crop failures that year would cause billions to starve to death.
Gee, I don't remember any of that happening back in 2002, about when CO2 got to that 350 figure.
Did I miss the End of World when I was off on a business trip?
Hansen, Schmidt, Gore and the rest of the motley crew,seem to be having a mental breakdown...
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