GM Requests $12B in Term Loan and $6B Revolving Line of Credit from Congress; Plan Outlines Increased Production of Fuel-Efficient and Alt Energy Vehicles
03 December 2008
GM is asking Congress for term loans of up to $12 billion to provide adequate liquidity levels through 31 December 2009. In a four-year Restructuring Plan submitted to Congress, GM said it anticipates an initial draw of $4 billion in December 2008, another $4 billion in January 2009, and a third draw of up to $2 billion in the February-March time frame based on recent market developments, for a total draw of $10 billion by the end of the first quarter.
In addition to the bridge loans, the company is requesting a $6 billion line of credit to provide liquidity should a severe market downturn persist. GM’s intent is to begin to repay the loans as soon as 2011. Warrants issued as part of the loans would allow taxpayers to benefit from growth in the company’s share price that might result from successful completion of the plan.
The total of $18 billion in term loan and revolving credit facilities is larger than the amount discussed during the Congressional hearings of 18-19 November, and includes provisions for a “Downside” industry sales scenario, a topic of considerable inquiry during the hearings. Once GM has completed the restructuring actions laid out in the plan, it says it will be able to operate profitably at industry annual sales volumes between 12.5 and 13 million vehicles by 2012. This is substantially below the 17 million unit industry levels averaged over the last nine years, and GM considers it to be a reasonably conservative assumption for gauging liquidity needs.
US Industry and GM Liquidity outlook in three scenarios. Click to enlarge. |
In drawing up the plan, GM used three scenarios for industry sales: Downside, Baseline and Upside. GM’s Baseline industry sales projection is 12 million units in 2009—a sharp decline from 16.5 million units in 2007, and even from the 13.7 million units expected this year. GM projects the industry will recover moderately to 14.5 million units by 2011 and 15 million units by 2012.
Against the Baseline Scenario, GM would make partial use of the temporary Federal loan facilities in 2009 and 2010, with repayments beginning in 2011 and with a full pay down by the end of 2012. The company’s current Baseline projections show that GM will be profitable on an automotive Adjusted Earnings Before Taxes basis in 2011, after the restructuring actions. Assuming the lower, depressed industry volumes under the Downside scenario, GM would make full use of the $18 billion temporary Federal loan facilities through most of 2012.
Any draws would be conditioned on achieving specific restructuring requirements in a plan submitted to Congress. GM is also proposing the creation of a Federal Oversight Board to monitor and authorize draws, including timing, amounts and performance metrics consistent with the plan.
Key elements of the plan include:
- Continued shift of the portfolio to smaller, more fuel-efficient vehicles; full compliance with the new CAFE standards of the 2007 Energy Independence and Security Act; and extensive investment in a range of advanced propulsion technologies;
- Rationalization of brands, models and retail outlets;
- Reduced wage and benefit costs, including further reductions in executive compensation;
- Further manufacturing and structural cost reductions through increased productivity and employment reductions; and
- Balance sheet restructuring and supplementing liquidity via temporary Federal assistance.
“Shortage of liquidity does focus the mind.” —Fritz Henderson, GM president and COO |
Product Portfolio and Fuel Efficiency. GM says it will substantially change its product mix over the next four years, and launch predominately high-mileage, energy-efficient cars and crossovers. Key elements of the product strategy include:
Introduction of the smallest 4-passenger vehicle on the US market, achieving higher fuel economy that the 2-passenger smart fortwo, the most fuel-efficient non-hybrid vehicle in the US market today.
In 2009, the Plan includes seven new vehicle launches in the United States, all of which will be either car or crossover models. In 2009-2012, 22 of 24 new vehicle introductions will be cars and crossovers; 20 of these models will come from GM engineering centers having a long history of designing vehicles for markets with $6-$8 per gallon gasoline. By 2012, approximately 68% of General Motors’ car sales volume in the United States will be models derived from new, global architectures.
In 2012, more than 50% of GM’s new vehicle sales will be flex-fuel capable.
In addition to the six hybrids it offers today, GM will introduce the VUE Two-Mode hybrid, along with the Silverado and Sierra two-mode hybrids in 2009. By 2012, GM will offer 15 hybrid models.
Downsizing, supported by more extensive use of turbocharging: 6-cylinder engines replace 8-cylinder units; 4-cylinder engines replace 6-cylinder units. 4-cylinder engine usage will increase by 42% by 2012, and fuel-saving 6-speed automatic transmission volume will increase by 400%, to more than 90% of GM’s US automatic transmission sales volume.
The Volt Extended Range Electric Vehicle will launch in 2010. The company’s product plan includes additional vehicles utilizing Volt’s extended-range electric vehicle system and potentially, the assembly of battery packs in the United States.
Targeted fuel efficiency improvements during the course of the plan. Click to enlarge. |
During the 2009-2012 term of the plan, GM will invest approximately $2.9 billion in alternative fuel and advanced propulsion technologies that offer fuel economy improvements ranging from 12% to 120%, compared to conventional gasoline engines. More than $2 billion of that will be applied to the main hybrid platforms offered by the company (BAS, two-mode and EREV); 26% percent of the total ($758 million) is to be applied to extended-range electric vehicles like the Volt. GM says that it will also continue to invest in hydrogen fuel cell technology.
On 17 November, GM filed its first Section 136 loan application for retooling funds (earlier post) with the Department of Energy, related to eight specific, high fuel-efficiency projects, in the total amount of $3.6 billion. Applications were made for the Chevrolet Volt, Chevrolet Cruze and Saturn Two-Mode Hybrid, which launch in the next 24 months. Applications were also made on behalf of several fuel-saving technologies, including hybrid and electric vehicle components, flex-fuel engines and automatic transmissions.
A second application, related to additional high-mileage vehicle and powertrain programs in development, is targeted for submission this week, and is estimated at $4.7 billion. In both cases, GM has made significant fuel efficiency-related investments that, as a result of having been made prior to the enactment of Section 136 funding, do not qualify for such funding.
Brands, Models and Dealerships. In the US, GM will focus its product development and marketing efforts on four core brands—Chevrolet, Cadillac, Buick and GMC—which account for 83% of current sales. Pontiac will be a specialty brand with reduced product offerings within the Buick-Pontiac-GMC channel. Hummer has recently been put under strategic review, which includes the possible sale of the brand, and GM will immediately undertake a global strategic review of the Saab brand. As part of the plan, the company also will accelerate discussions with the Saturn retailers, consistent with their unique relationship, to explore alternatives for the Saturn brand.
The plan focuses GM’s resources in the US around a smaller, more profitable set of nameplates (40 by 2012, compared to 48 today and 63 in 2004) with further consolidations in GM’s dealer network planned. From 6,450 outlets today, GM will shrink to 4,700 by 2012. In 2000, the dealer count was 8,138 outlets.
Reduced Wages and Benefits. The plan calls for further reduction in the number of executives and total compensation paid to senior leadership. For example, Wagoner will reduce his salary to $1 per year and receive no bonus for 2008 or 2009. The next four most senior officers (Executive Vice Presidents and above) will reduce their total cash compensation by approximately 50% in 2009, which includes no bonus paid for 2008 and 2009 and a 30% salary reduction for the President and COO, and 20% salary reductions for the remaining three.
The plan also requires further changes in existing labor agreements, including job security provisions, paid time-off, and post-retirement health-care obligations. The common stock dividend will remain suspended during the life of the loans.
Manufacturing and Structural Costs. GM will accelerate its current efforts to reduce manufacturing and structural costs, building on significant reductions already made over the past several years. By 2012, GM’s US employment (hourly and salaried) will be between 65,000-75,000—down from 96,537 this year, and down from 191,465 in 2000. The number of US Powertrain, Stamping and Assembly Plants will decline to 38 by 2012, from 47 this year (and from 64 in 2004). The proportion of flexible assembly plants will increase to 77% by 2012, up from 60% today, versus 22% in 2000.
GM currently has the most productive assembly plants in 11 of the 20 product segments measured by the Harbour Report, and it is a global leader in workplace safety. With the recently negotiated wage rates, turnover expected in the workforce, planned assembly plant consolidations, further productivity improvements in the plan, and additional changes to be negotiated, GM’s wages and benefits for both current workers and new hires will be fully competitive with Toyota by 2012.
With respect to the corporate aircraft that drew so much flak during the earlier Congressional hearings, GM is immediately ceasing all corporate aircraft operations, impacting approximately 50 hourly and salaried employees. GM is currently exploring options for transferring the aircraft to another charter service operator and/or pursuing disposal of the aircraft. These actions are in addition to recently announced decisions to reduce the total number of corporate aircraft.
Balance Sheet Restructuring. Under the plan, GM would significantly reduce the debt currently carried on its balance sheet. GM plans to engage current lenders, bond holders and its unions to negotiate the needed changes. GM’s plan would preserve the status of existing trade creditors and honor all outstanding warranty obligations to both dealers and consumers, in the US and globally.
Resources
Restructuring Plan for Long-Term Viability (2 Dec 2008)
To quote a report from USATODAY “General Motors (GM) CFO Frederick "Fritz" Henderson said Tuesday that GM needs $4 billion dollars in loans by the end of the year, another $6 billion by March. GM says government financing is its last hope. "There is no Plan B," he told reporters. "Without support, frankly, the company can't fund its obligations."
So the situation is apparently much worse now than what they reported in their last quarterly account. Also GMs stocks have not performed for decades. I have no doubt that no matter how much money you pump into GM with its current leadership (several levels down from the top) they will also waste that money.
A bailout may be needed to prevent mass unemployment in the entire industry. However, maybe the best way to use it is to let GM and Chrysler bankrupt and then help Ford and some of the auto suppliers to get through the resulting turmoil. That money at least has some chance of being paid back to the taxpayers.
Posted by: Henrik | 03 December 2008 at 04:17 AM
Henrik-
I'm not particularly in favor of government hand-outs, but what makes you so sure Ford won't go under as well? The stated difference between the GM & Ford, in terms of insolvency, is just a few months.
GM has been the squeaky wheel (and the biggest)- and therefore all attention has been focused on it. Despite what Mullaly would like us to believe, Ford is just as bad.
If any one of the "Big US 3" goes under- it will drag the rest of the US auto industry (manufacturers + suppliers) down with it.
No on bats an eyelid when socialist EU offers their ailing auto manufacturers multi-billion euro "loans" to keep them afloat. But it is surprising to talk about massive bail-outs in non-socialist USA.
God help us through this crisis.
Posted by: DieselHybrid | 03 December 2008 at 05:21 AM
I have been following the ongoing auto industry crisis for the past few months. Actually, I've been following the problems of the American (and actually, world-wide) automobile industry for over 30 years.
My biggest two complaints are one, the hostility toward the automobile expressed by people like Congressman Henry Waxman and Congresswoman Nancy Pelosi. And then two, the attitudes of those who appear to be or claim to be the auto industry's friends. I shall now describe the second of my two complaints in more detail:
My complaint about the auto industry's "friends" is, all they talk about is jobs, jobs, jobs! We are told again and again, about the millions of jobs that will be lost if American auto firms declare bankruptcy. We are told about all the jobs at stake not only at GM/Ford/ Chrysler, but also supplier firms, dealerships, et cetera.
The problem with playing the jobs card is, it promotes the idea that the only socially redeeming value of cars is job creation. So I would like to ask everyone who reads this: Do you believe your own car serves no purpose nor has any redeeming social value other than creating a job for someone?
The jobs issue, as I see it, is a red herring that is distracting our attention away from the real issue facing us today, which is the very way of life we are used to.
Having passed through adolescence during the 1960's, I remember when vehicles like the Ford LTD Country Squire station wagon were a common symbol of suburban prosperity and contentment. I remember when a typical suburban wife and mother would use the family station wagon for everything: Bringing home a week's groceries to feed three hungry and growing children, taking her 8 year old daughter to ballet lessons, or her 10 year old son to a Little League game, or her 12 year old son or daughter to music lessons. And on weekends, papa might use the family station wagon to take his own son and perhaps three other young guys on the excitement and adventure of a weekend boy scout camping trip.
Now, thanks to the increasing aggressive attitude shown by Congress (which will only increase further with the incoming Democratic majority in the House and Senate), we have a 35 mile per gallon CAFE requirement. And that's not all. There are requirements now pending which will at least double roof crush strength requirements. In addition, we may also see requirements for pedestrian protection systems.
If we continue to squeeze the automobile industry harder and harder on both fuel economy and safety, we may end up with cars that can sustain speeds of no more than 45 miles per hour, especially if one's set of wheels has to be big enough to carry two adults and three children. If you can't move any faster than 45 miles per hour, what will that do to the way of life we are accustomed to?
We have all read stories about how the world is coming to an end from global warming. As I see it, that still doesn't justify the lack of openness, the lack of candor, the lack of any mention in the news media, of the price we may have to pay in terms of our lifestyles for the legislative/regulatory aggression against the automobile waged by people like Henry Waxman, Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid, and countless others.
I can't emphasize enough that it is pure demagoguery for anybody to talk about "getting tough" on GM and other automakers regarding fuel economy, safety, or emissions. If we end up with cars that can sustain no more than 45 miles per hour, we will only have gotten tough on ourselves.
Posted by: Alex Kovnat | 03 December 2008 at 05:46 AM
Alex:
For gas mileage, we can either have our lifestyle changed by congress or by OPEC. Choose your poison.
Posted by: Dan A | 03 December 2008 at 05:58 AM
OPEC!
Really. I prefer the free-market solution of prices, because when gas prices rise, people at least have a choice: A smaller car, less driving, slowing down a little, or some combination of the three. At least OPEC doesn't assume upon itself the presumption of telling me what to drive.
Posted by: Alex Kovnat | 03 December 2008 at 06:31 AM
Far better to fix what caused the problems in the first place:
1. healthcare- do a derivative of HR 676 and put the UAW and retirees onto medicare-
2. cafe standards distort production and induce dislocation between manufacturers and customers- instead, lets do a gradually implemented ( eg 10 cents per year) gas tax that ramps up to 2 bucks total, that way everybody understands the need to get fuel efficient, all together
3. in return for medicare, automakers must agree to drop all anti ghg law suits they have brought.
4. let euro safety standard cars be imported here if manufactuers want to( Ford Ka etc)
Posted by: jersey geoff | 03 December 2008 at 06:34 AM
@Kovnat,
We are already driving such cars in Europe. Safe, economical and capable of more than 45 mph.
Posted by: clett | 03 December 2008 at 06:55 AM
Alex:
What is the relationship between GM going bankrupt and 45 mph cars? There are at least 50++ cars in the world that can do at least 100 mph. Nobody needs GM to meet that requirement.
If you mean 50 mpg cars, that is another statement or requirement. None of the current GM products can do it but about 10+ another cars in the world can do as much and a bit more.
In other words, GM does not produce a single product that is not already available elsewhere. The world would survive after the passing of GM, Ford and Chrysler. However, by letting one or two go bankrupt may help the remaining one to survive. Who should be the one to survive? Ford may be in a better position. GM could downsize to the VOLT PHEF with a single $ billion or two. and Chrysler could go where it wants to.
Shall we support $73/hr jobs with tax money? People working for $8 to 10/hr would be justified not to like such huge bailouts unless car industries labor cost goes down by at least 50%, to about $35/hr. Maintaining such wide pay disparities with tax dollars would not be very democratic.
However, laid off auto industry workers should get extended $8 to $10/hr unemployment insurance while they are being retrained and/or find another job.
Posted by: HarveyD | 03 December 2008 at 07:11 AM
jersey geoff's solution sounds by far the most sensible to me.
Posted by: Marcus | 03 December 2008 at 07:43 AM
@Harvey:
Did you actually read what I wrote? I didn't say anything about GM specifically, I meant General Motors AND OTHER AUTOMAKERS (Whoooopppsss, sorry for shouting :) )
We are not only demanding 35 MPH CAFE at the federal level. Some state governments are demanding 40 MPG or more. I don't think anybody, not even Honda or Toyota, nor even the Smart Car, can cope with such demands without sacrificing something. It might be safety, or room, or performance. Or, cost.
For example: The Tesla, a fully electric car using lithium ion batteries, costs over a hundred grand. Many people can't afford to pay that much for just one car.
Posted by: Alex Kovnat | 03 December 2008 at 07:52 AM
Its simple realy what happened was for a LONG time all big biss with overinflated wages was supported by tax breaks..
Its was a nice scam realy. Make an entire state or the country pay and then a city or state gets all the extra revenue from all those high wage jobs and all the other jobs based on that....
But it failed when the people paying that huge tax break bill.... stopped paying taxes because they were GONE or LAID OFF.. Or started paying a hell of alot less because they were cut back.
And now all those tax breaks are blowing up left and right.
And this isnt just the us its everywhere this system kept things moving.
Now to make it even worse a ton of this was based on the gargantuan moola comming from increased property values.. mostly homes.. 1% increase in home values means a city like new york gains 10-20 maybe 30 billion in value.. and thus can borrow that.. every year... until it went boom.
And to make everything even more spiffy wondermeat funtime joy joy... climate change.
So what to do? Well its rather simple realy.. do a tech rush while keeping the econ churning whatever way you can and then let it all fall apart... Knowing it will come back together again and based on the tech you just rushed.
Posted by: wintermane | 03 December 2008 at 07:53 AM
Well, after trying to decode what Alex is saying, I do think the car has value to Americans more than just in job creation.
I value my Honda becuause of its:
1) Reliability--its a 2004 and Ive put 165,000 miles on it with very little trouble
2) Solid build--the thing drives just like the day I bought it. No loose, gangly feeling in it anywhere.
3) Decent fuel milegae for its type--its a box on wheels and I still average 22mpg with 4wd
4) Resale Value--If I ever would want to part with the thing, I could have been able to get more than I owed on it--with excessive milage for over a year and a half now. Ive never had that with a Domestic Brand. Not even close.
My point of making four points: I dont have any use for GM, Ford or Chrysler Products. I don't care how much money they get thrown at them, they have NO care but to put out "the same old" stuff.
Do they have a few slightly competitive products? Sure, but good luck getting one. GM sold like 1100 hybrids last month and what, 900 of them were behemoth Tahoe/Suburban/Escalade type. But, ooh, they did sell 130 hybrid cars! Wee!
That is NOT viabliltiy that is NOT sustainability. The nonsense "green" image GM and Ford is trying to Milk is ludacris. 3000 vehicles a month for the BOTH of them is nonsense.
For me, a better car company gets my support-- Honda.
Nate Hawkins
Dover, Ohio
Posted by: Nate H | 03 December 2008 at 09:49 AM
So citigroup, an institution which produces absolutely nothing, receives $300 billion without a plan and without questions asked.
And what does GM ask for again? $3000 billion?
Posted by: Huh? | 03 December 2008 at 10:41 AM
Until I read the GM Plan:
I had NO IDEA that the Dealer consolidation had gone so far. It is amazing that 80% by volume of BPG vehicles were sold in the consolidated troika dealerships, already. That means to most practical purposes, that the dealer rationalization has already pretty much taken place. Conventional wisdom was that was a multi-billion dollar, decade or more effort, is yet to be fully undertaken or even begun.
I had NO IDEA that sales representing 83% of volume was concentrated in the four brand channels of Chevrolet, Buick, Cadillac and GMC, in North America.
I applaud the decision to dispose of Hummer, and turn Pontiac into a few model sub-brand.
Depending on what models you give to Pontiac, either performance "sporty cars" or the small end of the car range, perhaps not so appropriate to Buick, there are two alternatives to the Saturn dealerships.
1) Absorb them into the PBG troikas as a brand for the small cars, PBGS, if Pontiac is restricted to "sporty vehicles " OR
2) turn the Saturn dealer network into an import brand dealership for GM Europe and sell Opels, & Saabs with little change, as fully European brands without modification. If you are in reality selling Opels, why spend money to re-badge them as Saturn's with all the costs involved for nonsense like grill work. Only to have the auto press deride the "Americanization" efforts anyway, and pine for the genuine "European" versions.
The auto writers like getting to travel to Europe to "test drive" vehicles. Let them go there, to test drive their Opels and Saabs, just like they do for their reviews of Mercedes and BMWs.
Unstated but by implication, I deduce, Saturn and SAAB should/will be annexed by Opel/Vauxhall. No one else inthe world has the money or the the reason to buy them. GM Europe should/will export to America, transplant manufacture in a Southern state of Tennesee, like the others, and the ex-Saturn dealerships provide an easy to construct, existing distribution channel.
I knew that Buick has a realtively high quality rating. It makes sense to keep it as one of the four main brands. I just had no idea that it was so well accepted in terms of volume. When Quality is the number one concern of buyers, alongside fuel economy, and actual quality is statistically indistinguishable now, Perception is everything.
Buick is much further along in building/maintaining a Quality image, than many of the other GM brands. Reserving small cars for either Pontiac or Saturn will keep the Buick "near luxury status" image alive, as it is already well-established, too. The PBG dealer network will certainly cry for a range of small, higher volume cars to vend, from Pontiac. The real discipline will come in a few years as Pontiac strives to "return" to a full model lineup via cheap badge engineering.
Al Sloan's construction of GM did not envision each brand growing upward and downward to encompass the entire market. Each brand represented a small market segment appropriate to its brand image. Only later did it morph into rediculous redundancy.
Incidently I suspect that I can deduce what GM envisioned doing with Chrysler, had they merged. GM would have merely substituted Dodge for Pontiac as a vendor of small cars for ther PBG, er DBG, dealer network. Jeep could be taken up by any of the remaining channels.
Posted by: stas peterson | 03 December 2008 at 11:58 AM
Citigroup did not receive $300B. Period.
Whether the Citigroup deal was a good idea will be decided in time. But the government did not give them $300B or anything resembling it.
The automakers situation is another matter.
Some express concerns about the UAW workers but not the salaried workers. Why? I see no reason to give the UAW workers a special deal in Medicare that is not available to others.
Actually I see one reason. The UAW routes plenty of money and support to one political party and not the other.
jersey geoff's points 2 and 4 are worthwhile. Raise the cost of fuel to encourage higher mileage. And import EU vehicles.
The idea that 45mph vehicles will be a consequence of CAFE or safety is nonsense. Read previous sentence as necessary.
GM proposes getting money now for changes later. Not a very shrewd deal for the treasury. Who can say that those creditors, bond holders, and workers will agree to concessions?
The GM plan will form another black hole for government money. It goes in. Then more will be needed. At some point the companies may emerge in a new reality. Don't expect it! No Stephan Hawkings could figure this one out.
OTOH, Reid, Pelosi, and Waxman are singularly unsuited to determine the fate of the US auto industry. Or anything else IMO. Alas, that ship has sailed.
Posted by: K | 03 December 2008 at 12:11 PM
Nate H. writes about his Honda:
>I value my Honda becuause of its:
>1) Reliability--its a 2004 and Ive put 165,000 miles on it ....
>2) Solid build--the thing drives just like the day I bought it. ...........
>3) Decent fuel milegae for its type
>4) Resale Value ....
Nate, I hear you loud and clear. I'm a Toyota owner myself! It is because of the points you raise in your post which I exerpted above, that I am 100% AGAINST any proposal to help the Big Three which includes any provision to limit American consumer access to Toyota, Honda, or other foreign cars.
I raise this point because I fear that if someone like Nancy Pelosi or Senator Harry Reid of Nevada is hostile enough towards the automobile to lay on draconian fuel economy requirements, they are probably also hostile enough to lay on draconian domestic content requirements as well.
Posted by: Alex Kovnat | 03 December 2008 at 12:33 PM
But on the other hand, Alex,
Its been so long proven that GM and Ford really dont want to do anything drastic about their fuel economy. They just want to sell big old trucks, which is fine. I think they should be a "truck only" group of manufacturers.
Their smaller cars suck, are terrible for reliability (minus the Focus) and resale value. I say, let them go thru bankruptcy, then reorganize without Legacy UAW pensions, healthcare, etc.
Then let them make only trucks. When demand wanes, they can lay off everyone but a skeleton crew. When it picks up, they can get a bunch of Temps. Their quality would probably be the same.
Let Harry and Nancy do whatever they want to shout about on the airwaves. I dont like either of them --I didnt vote for Obama. But those clowns dont really offer anything to anyone with their "demands" to the auto industry.
Not enough buyers will be the downfall of the big 3--with bailout money, or not. With fuel economy or not. With Nancy and Harry--or not.
The big three will collapse, beyond reasonable rescue by June 2009.
Nate H.
Dover, Ohio
Posted by: Nate H. | 03 December 2008 at 06:55 PM
"GM’s wages and benefits for both current workers and new hires will be fully competitive with Toyota by 2012." total BS! does ron givethefinger know that GM has said that? Hyundai pays $26 an hour/$44 with benefits. Gm pays $28 an hour/ $73 with benefits. does GM really expect us to beleive that the UAw will take a 40% cut in pay? especially when ron has only said they will "suspend" the jobs bank and "delay" benefits payments? none of that involves changes in cost, just when the cost is incurred. so they wont have any money to be able to pay back in 2012.
and what about the $8 billion they owe the benefits fund in 2010? how are they paying that off?
GM owes close to $66 billion right now according to the last quarterly statement. how many of those institutions they owe money to are stupid enough to take part of the company in payment?
how did they get within one month of total failure with virtually no actions to forestall it? did they think $65 million in campaign contributions ( in addition to the union's $20 million and thousands of volunteers) was all they needed to buy some political support?
the union saw the books at the last strike settlement, they knew this was coming and also did nothing.
I dont buy their "a depression will occur" fearmongering. they say people wont buy cars from a bankrupt company, but most people wont buy GMs from a crooked dealer either. the whole company and dealer network is a total loss and small, meaningless steps woant prevent the inevitable. the SNL skit had it right, $4 billion now, $4 billion in 3 months, $4 billion in 6 months, then $8 billion.... you cant fix gangrene with bandages.
Posted by: fred | 03 December 2008 at 07:17 PM
Citigroup just received a guarantee of $300 billion, period.
And Citigroup still doesn't produce anything, period.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20081124/bs_afp/financeeconomyusbankingcitigroup_081124213523
Posted by: No K | 04 December 2008 at 02:27 AM
The Citigroup no-plan will form another black hole for government money. It goes in. Then more will be needed.
Posted by: | 04 December 2008 at 02:47 AM
IF the GM deal is accepted, then whether the GM deal was a good idea will be decided in time.
Posted by: | 04 December 2008 at 02:50 AM
Well those who insist Citigroup got $300B from the government won't be convinced by any refererces.
I invite anyone interested to try google or another source and see what the widely reported $300B consisted of. And why it does have conditions and why No K and Huh are mistaken when they write stuff such as:
"So citigroup, an institution which produces absolutely nothing, receives $300 billion without a plan and without questions asked."
What the government did is buy preferred stock in Citicorp. About $25B worth. That may not be a good idea but does not give away $25B and it is not $300B.
The government also partly guaranteed Citigroup assets. The guarantee was only partial comes into effect after Citigroup takes the first losses.
Even should the Citigroup asset prove absolutely worthless the government would not lose $300B and Citicorp would not have been given money.
And numerous controls were put on Citigroup to reduce executive compensation and prevent routing of any money to stockholders.
But people who won't read the facts as reported in the financial press won't believe me either.
Posted by: K | 04 December 2008 at 10:49 AM
someone wrote this:
"IF the GM deal is accepted, then whether the GM deal was a good idea will be decided in time."
I realize the quote was intended as sarcasm. But I accept it as true and agree with it. In time we will certainly will hold some view of the proposed GM rescue.
We will come to believe it was good | bad that we did rescue them. Or think it was good | bad that we did not.
I personally believe bankruptcy is the better course. Cars will continue to be made and the social and our financial infrastructure has been designed to lessen the pain. The pain can't be eliminated, reducing it is the best we can do.
The alternative is making up rules as you go to avoid facing facts.
Posted by: K | 04 December 2008 at 11:10 AM
Henrik you start - A bailout may be needed to prevent mass unemployment in the entire industry.
and then Alex continues on with...
My complaint about the auto industry's "friends" is, all they talk about is jobs, jobs, jobs! We are told again and again, about the millions of jobs that will be lost if American auto firms declare bankruptcy.
to be echoed by....
DieselHybrid- If any one of the "Big US 3" goes under- it will drag the rest of the US auto industry (manufacturers + suppliers) down with it.
I, for one, resent this blackmail from the old guard automakers of North America on our politicians. Namely that unless you give them billions of dollars they will throw millions out of work.
That said I concur with Henrik ...
However, maybe the best way to use (federal funding) is to let GM and Chrysler go bankrupt and then help Ford and some of the auto suppliers to get through the resulting turmoil.
I've no problem with the demise of GM. We long ago gutted our established electronics manufacturing by allowing the Far East to supply our consumer electronics and computer hardware. What makes cars so special ? The so-called transplants seem to be doing very well over here supplying North American markets with the type of cars we need. GM is merely superfluous. And we don't need to encourage what would undoubtably become an American "Leyland" situation, particularly with its current management.
Moving on, I would like to tackle a new thread here that Henrik brought up.
The problem with playing the jobs card is, it promotes the idea that the only socially redeeming value of cars is job creation. So I would like to ask everyone who reads this: Do you believe your own car serves no purpose nor has any redeeming social value other than creating a job for someone ?
Exactly right it's, the very way of life we are used to when cars equate purely to jobs. Then we are in effect financing a make work project here.
It seems to me we are beginning to separate into two classes. The rulers in the form of highly paid and tenured for life government workers and upper management, and the ruled - those who made the wrong choice and ended up in the private sector.
Corrupt management from those rulers has caused tax money to be diverted away from social services like health care and the refurbishment of our disintegrating infrastructure and put instead into unprofitable wars.
Incompetent management from those rulers has resulted in the production of consumer goods that miss their target. We now see tax money from workers in the private sector being steered towards their rulers in upper management to allow them to continue. The cycle will be repeated when the money runs out and they need to be back at the trough again. With this scenario BK for GM would be a good thing.
The truth is all those GM jobs won't be disappearing, they will merely gravitate towards those manufacturers with the more competent management boards, as they have always done in industries elsewhere. I don't see 3M or Kodak with begging bowls just because recording media has moved away from magnetic tape and film.
What I have a problem with is the thought that taxpayers money can be used in the billion dollar amounts just to save jobs, when there is no shortage of cars in North America. We have overcapacity in manufacturing. Even if they were to shutter all the facilities we would not be immediately reduced to the whip and buggy era, there are still many vehicles on new and second hand lots. Life would continue. It's just that the rulers have trouble in handing out money to people for doing nothing as if a life of 40hrs/wk servitude is the only acceptable role for those outside government
We have to get a grip that perhaps there will be less work in the future. We should prepare for the changes that home recharging, regen braking and the complete absence of mechanical powertrains will make when electrically propelled cars become the norm. If it is indeed true that one in seven are auto related then there are probably going to be a lot fewer service oriented jobs around. It could well be a significant reduction.
Posted by: T2 | 04 December 2008 at 01:34 PM
T2:
The problem with your reasoning is that you do not weight in consequences. In time of financial thrombosis and serious recession failure of Big 3 (with all exasperations natural to emotion-driven market) means third of the country in soup lines.
Do you and your family ready to take this chance?
Posted by: Andrey Levin | 05 December 2008 at 02:00 AM