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California ARB Holding Public Meeting on Possible Revamp of Zero Emission Vehicle Regulation; “ZEV II”

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ARB Staff’s analysis shows ZEVs will need to reach 100% of new vehicle sales between 2040 and 2050, with commercial markets for ZEVs launching in the 2015 to 2020 timeframe, to meet the 80% GHG reduction target set by the Governor. Source: ARB. Click to enlarge.

The California Air Resources Board (ARB) will conduct a public meeting to consider an informational update on the Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) regulation—specifically, ARB Staff’s assessment of the need for revisions to the ZEV regulations that would result in a “ZEV II”—as part of the Board meeting scheduled for 9-10 December in Sacramento, California.

No regulatory changes will be made at this time. The objective of the meeting is to receive feedback on staff’s preliminary assessment, and to provide the Board with staff’s views of how a revised ZEV program could complement the revisions to the low emission vehicle program (including both criteria and greenhouse gas emission standards) that staff intends to propose for Board consideration late next summer (LEV III). Later in 2010, staff will propose formal regulatory changes to the ZEV program.

California GHG Targets and ZEV
In 2005, California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger enacted Executive Order S-03-052,requiring a reduction in state-wide GHG emissions to 80% below 1990 levels by 2050. (Earlier post.)
In addition to the Governor’s Executive Order, the State Legislature adopted and the Governor signed Assembly Bill (AB) 32, which has initiated programs to reduce GHG emissions across most sectors.
The Board called for a redesign of the ZEV regulation to help meet the goals outlined in the Governor’s Executive Order and in AB 32.

The public meeting is the latest event in a series that began at the March 2008 Board meeting (earlier post), when the ARB adopted resolution 08-24 directing ARB staff:

  • To review the low emission vehicle (LEV), Pavley, and ZEV programs, keeping in mind the need to reduce criteria pollutant emissions, climate change emissions, and dependence on petroleum;

  • Strengthen the ZEV program for model years 2015 and subsequent years;

  • Focus on zero emission vehicles and enhanced advanced technology partial zero emission vehicles (enhanced AT PZEVs);

  • Ensure California is the center of ZEV commercialization development; and

  • Return to the Board by the end of 2009.

ARB staff has published a white paper summarizing possible changes to the ZEV regulation along with attachments on ZEV technology status, a 2050 GHG analysis, and complimentary policies, all available electronically on ARB’s program website.

Very broadly, ARB staff is making a number of major recommendation to the Board:

  • Partial Zero Emission Vehicles (PZEVs), now a part of the ZEV regulation, are commercial, and can be removed from the ZEV regulation (effective in 2014). Their emission benefits are appropriately considered in next summer’s revision to the LEV criteria emission standards (LEV III).

  • Advanced Technology PZEVs (AT-PZEVs, e.g., hybrids), now a part of the ZEV regulation, are commercial, and can be removed from the ZEV regulation (effective in 2017). Their emission benefits are appropriately considered in next summer’s revision to the LEV GHG emission standards (Pavley 2).

  • The focus of the ZEV regulation should be shifted to address GHG emission reductions as well as criteria pollutants emission reductions. An important new goal for the ZEV program should be to help assure the transformation to very low carbon-emitting vehicles occurs in the timeframe necessary to meet the Governor’s 2050 target of an 80% reduction in GHGs compared to 1990 levels.

  • The goal of the revised ZEV program should be to help demonstration-stage, low-GHG emitting technologies to commercialization, include fuel cell vehicles (FCVs); battery-electric vehicles (BEVs); and Enhanced AT PZEVs, which currently include plug-in HEVs (PHEV) and hydrogen internal combustion engine (HICE) vehicles.

    Following the successful mechanisms used to facilitate commercialization of PZEVs and AT PZEVs, the regulation would move ZEVs and Enhanced AT PZEVs from demonstration volumes, meaning hundreds (100s) and thousands (1,000s) per year, through pre-commercial volumes, meaning tens of thousands (10,000s) per year, to commercialization, meaning hundreds of thousands (100,000s) per year.

    Once this is achieved, the ZEV regulation would no longer be needed, and like the PZEV and AT PZEV technologies, they could be considered in setting future LEV performance-based emission standards.

  • The proposed structure and stringency of the revised ZEV program will depend in part on the Board’s decision on establishing more stringent GHG standards for the overall fleet, next summer, (i.e., Pavley II) and how well it places on the path to meeting an 80% reduction in GHG emissions by 2050.

  • The staff intends to further evaluate incentive and regulatory policies that can assure adequate fueling infrastructure is available for to support the commercialization of ZEVs.

  • The staff will also evaluate the adequacy of incentives to encourage purchase of ZEVs, and will recommend to the Board what complementary policies best support implementation of the ZEV program.

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Comments

Stan Peterson

Quick! Change the "unified" rules, so we can continue to JUSTIFY our existence!

Otherwise we are just a duplicative and unnecessary bureaucracy, now, and the NHTSA/EPA can take our place.

Ms. Nichols, Dr. Quack and all the others might be out of a job.

Tuuurn Out the Liights! The Party is overrr..!! Tra La La La...

HarveyD

S.P. is at it again.

USA needs at least 30 more Californias. They could save USA's export market.

By looking at the graft, it seems that the current R-Wall Street $ R-Banks created financial crisis is expected to last until 2020/2022. After that, the outlook may be getting worse of better.

Both ways, USA will have some serious catching up to do. China's GNP may have grown by over 200% by then. Wonder what China's and USA's currencies will be worth by that time?

Mannstein

The smart money is going into assets which are not US Dollar denominated in case you didn't already know.

Helicopter Bernanke is out to wreck the currency.

America is living beyond its means clear and simple.

Reel$$

Someone is getting the memos. mention of GHGs and climate dwindling. Politicos scrambling to exit sinking AGW ship.

Street smart money shorts all things "climate."

ToppaTom

USA needs to be careful of California.

Maybe cut it free if it is beyond saving.

It is bankrupt and on fire.

While the rest of the country is not on fire

And not actually bankrupt.

( You're not out of money as long as you have a line of credit ).

HarveyD

TT

California is an integral part of the same air bubble ship.

When everybody has 10+ fully loaded credit cards, it will not matter much if you stay in Cal. or NY., the financial system will burst again.

Billionaires will move/spread their assets around in safer places.

Time will tell if WB made a mistake with so much investment into rails. Does he know something that very few do, about rail future in USA? Of course, a heavy tax on diesel fuel + increased road usage fees may convince truck owners to use rails to move their trailers around the country. Otherwise, the outdated rail systems may have a hard time.

sulleny

Whatever we do, let's not have deal with the last twenty years of climate FRAUD - which plainly impacts all financial conditions.

If someone had been picking your pocket for the past twenty years - maybe you'd be short on cash too!

Buffet puts his money where he knows people are honest and work hard. 'nuff said.

HealthyBreeze

Doesn't California pay more in Federal Taxes than it receives in Federal Funds from all programs? Isn't California the world's 6th largest economy by itself? Aren't California companies key new wealth generators in new economic niches? Pretty dumb suggesting you want to take that player off the US team.

HarveyD

The answer may come from Japan. JARI (Japan) has recently developed the C*ta, a small, re-inforced plastic 300 Kg body, AWD e-city car with small 2 KW motors in each wheel. The C*ta does 125 Km on the 5 Kwh (40 Kg) battery or 25 Km/Kwh. At 12.5 cents/Kwh you can drive this car 25 Km for 12.5 cents every day.

This could become the foundation for future very light weight e-Nanos. Soft pads on bumpers could reduce serious injuries (amongst C*tas) to almost zero.

This should be the type of cars allowed without restrictions on city streets.

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