Researchers Develop Unifying Model Framework Describing the Atmospheric Evolution of Organic Aerosols; Better Insight into Climate and Air Quality
11 December 2009
Organic aerosol (OA) particles affect climate forcing and human health, but their sources and evolution have remained poorly characterized. Scientists have struggled to know where the organic molecules from mobile and stationary source emissions go, and what happens to them once they leave their source. Climate and air quality models therefore have been incomplete or less than accurate.
A global collaborative effort of more than 60 scientists, led by Jose-Luis Jimenez of the University of Colorado, has developed a unifying model framework describing the atmospheric evolution of OA that is constrained by high–time-resolution measurements of its composition, volatility, and oxidation state. They report their results in the 11 December issue of the journal Science.
Organic compounds coat airborne particles like a lacquer of spray paint, and make up as much as 90% of all fine particle mass in the atmosphere. These particles influence cloud formation and therefore rainfall. They also affect human health and can lead to illnesses like asthma, heart disease and lung cancer.
But so far only about 10 to 30% of the thousands of individual compounds have been identified. Past research has focused on following specific molecules with the idea that these compounds remain relatively static once they enter the atmosphere. However, recent discoveries show that the life cycle of these compounds is much more complex, with organic molecules reacting many times in several different ways. Attempts by atmospheric scientists to track this life cycle often leave researchers with a sea of divergent paths to follow.
“The atmosphere acts like Dan Aykroyd’s Bass-O-Matic, making similar looking goop no matter what you start with.” |
—co-author Neil Donahue |
Through a series of worldwide field observations and lab experiments, the researchers found that organic matter ultimately tends to evolve toward a similar end, regardless of the source or where it occurs in the atmosphere. The scientists present a solution that will improve the speed and accuracy of prediction models used to understand how aerosols affect climate and human health.
The researchers focused on two key properties—volatility, or the tendency to evaporate, and the oxygen-to-carbon ratio—that evolve as aerosols make their way through the atmosphere. They used that the volatility and oxidation state of organics to build a two-dimensional (2D) modeling framework that maps the evolution of atmospheric OA.
The measurements and model reveal OA to be a highly dynamic system, tightly coupled to gas-phase oxidation chemistry. Gas-phase reactions transform OA constituents, and the OA itself is an intermediate, often forming from gas-phase precursors and ultimately returning, in part, to gas-phase products. The framework, though computationally inexpensive, allows an accurate representation of OA in regional and global climate and air-quality models used for policy assessments.
...OA is dynamic and continually evolves in the atmosphere; this evolution strongly influences the effects of particulate matter on climate and air quality. The complex evolution of OA contrasts with the simpler behavior of sulfate, which is irreversibly oxidized and condensed. Current modeling frameworks for OA are constructed in an analogous way to those for sulfate, with either no aging or one-step oxidation. Here we have presented a unifying framework describing the atmospheric evolution of OA, which is directly connected to worldwide observations and experimentally verifiable and can be used to evaluate and form the basis of practical phenomenological modeling approaches.
The combination of measurements and the modeling framework implies that most OA is an intermediate state of organic material, between primary emissions of reduced species and highly oxidized volatile products (CO and CO2). Future models, inventories, and measurements will almost certainly need to account for the dynamic sources and sinks of OA to accurately predict regional and global OA distributions and properties and thus the associated health and climate effects.
—Jimenez et al.
Resources
J. L. Jimenez et al. (2009) Evolution of Organic Aerosols in the Atmosphere. Science Vol. 326. no. 5959, pp. 1525 - 1529 doi: 10.1126/science.1180353
Meinrat O. Andreae (2009) A New Look at Aging Aerosols. Science Vol. 326. no. 5959, pp. 1493 - 1494 doi: 10.1126/science.1183158
U Colorado, Penn State, Columbia, and U East Anglia - are headed for some serious funding cuts. As the public becomes more aware of the black hole climate science has been lurking in, they'll demand cuts. It's already happening at Penn State. This is an unfortunate bit of karmic fallout from Climategate that will hurt some dedicated science people.
What the mil calls "Collateral Damage."
Posted by: sulleny | 12 December 2009 at 03:39 PM
The only reason there's a "Climategate" is because nobody has hacked into the mailboxes of frauds like JunkScience.com. "Denialgate" would destroy the denial industry were it to occur.
Posted by: Engineer-Poet | 12 December 2009 at 06:33 PM
Let's see, the budget, salaried personnel and security systems of major State funded Universities vs a 3-4 person internet blog. How hard would it be to expose the fraud in a tiny gaggle of counter-culture skeptics???
So, where's the evidence??
Posted by: sulleny | 12 December 2009 at 11:12 PM
Come now. If the climate science groups tried to pay hackers to get Milloy's e-mail, they'd go to jail for computer intrusion and conspiracy. That is exactly what should happen to the denialists who paid for the hack job, but I doubt they'll ever be brought to justice.
Posted by: Engineer-Poet | 13 December 2009 at 09:23 AM
Engineer-Poet,
Increasingly the recent scientific evidence of the 21st century is that the whole CO2/GHG sky-is-falling idea, is wrong.
That is why Climategate happened.
They would not have had to resort to all the nefarious lying, cheating, stealing, data destruction, character assassination, and suppression of the evidence, if the scientific results were truly as bad, as they describe.
It was because it increasingly appeared that there was no problem, that the AGW hypotheses had been disproven, that they had to do so.
Ask yourself the simple question. Why else LIE?
Posted by: Stan Peterson | 14 December 2009 at 09:38 AM
What lies, "Stas"? See the above; there's no faked data.
I have been watching the claims of the AGW denialists and the evolution denialists, and you know what? They are almost identical after you change a few terms. Neither set of denialists is interested in facts. Little facts like continuing ice loss at the poles despite an "unseasonably cool" summer in N. America simply do not fit into the IDEOLOGY, so they are denied.
Posted by: Engineer-Poet | 14 December 2009 at 10:46 AM