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Pike Research forecasts geothermal power capacity could more than double by 2020 under aggressive investment scenario

According to a new report from Pike Research, escalating investment in geothermal power could result in a 134% increase in total geothermal capacity between 2010 and 2020, from 10.7 GW to 25.1 GW, under a high-growth forecast scenario. Under a more conservative business-as-usual forecast scenario, the cleantech market intelligence firm estimates that geothermal power capacity would increase 34% to 14.3 GW by 2020.

Worldwide potential for geothermal energy is immense, but geothermal remains an underutilized resource and represents only a small fraction of the global renewable energy portfolio. Improved access to resource data, more efficient drilling processes, increased understanding about the industry’s potential, and improving access to financing are driving expanding interest in the sector.

—Pike senior analyst Peter Asmus

Asmus adds that the current installed capacity of 10.7 GW is spread across 26 countries with a combined output of approximately 67 TWh of electricity. Currently, the United States is the global geothermal leader with 3.1 GW of installed capacity, and seven countries represent 88% of the world market. While conventional geothermal resources account for nearly all online capacity today, enhanced geothermal systems (EGS) and co-produced wells both offer opportunities for expansion outside of rift zones or volcanically active regions throughout the world.

Pike Research’s high-growth forecast scenario assumes a continued increase and persistent volatility in the price of oil, tightening carbon regulations, improved access to capital, standardization of geothermal exploration data, contribution from EGS-enabled and co-produced resources, technological breakthroughs in exploration and drilling equipment, improved access to drills and skilled labor, and sustained policies supporting renewable energy mandates, grants, and tax subsidies.

Even if progress falls short in these areas, the potential for geothermal market expansion remains strong, and even our conservative business-as-usual forecast is consistent with growth rates observed in the industry since 1990.

—Peter Asmus


Dana Johnson

What a fantastic way to sustain the energy needs of everyone while giving back to the Earth! In a time when eco-friendliness is at a high, this new form of energy for all is a stantion in supporting not only people in their everyday lives, but also a cleaner, healtier future for generations to come.
Currently, the price of oil rose 50% per barrel than what it was a year ago. The continuation of dependency on fossil fuels being imported is disasterous on many fronts.
Many individuals may think that even if they do their part by using geothermal resources in their homes, they will still have to rely on fossil fuels, because so many others do. But if one person uses a geothermal air and heating unit in their home, they are helping to improve the environment around them; and it is a fact that when one person starts something new, others see it and start investigating for themselves - so the ball begins to roll on a new, healthier source for all in their homes, while providing a sustainable, reliable source of energy for generations.
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