Study concludes advanced biofuel could meet more than 50% of India’s demand for transport gasoline by 2020
18 May 2011
Transforming agricultural waste into biofuel in India could meet up to 59% of the country’s demand for transport gasoline while creating up to one million jobs, according to a new study by Bloomberg New Energy Finance, commissioned by enzyme company Novozymes. The Government of India has already announced an ambitious target of 20% of biofuels in transport by 2017 as part of its Indian Biofuels Policy.
India is the world’s 6th largest consumer of energy with current consumption of 17.3 billion liters (4.57 billion gallons US) per year of gasoline. Demand is expected to grow 8.5% every year till 2020. Assuming a barrel of crude oil costs US$100, India will spend US$19.4 billion on importing gasoline by 2020.
The Bloomberg study “Next-generation Ethanol: What’s in it for India’s commissioned by Novozymes was presented at event organized under the aegis of the Danish Embassy in India in cooperation with India’s Ministry of New and Renewable Energy. According to the report, biofuels from agricultural residues are an important existing alternative to liquid fuel which is environmentally sustainable and should be pursued aggressively.
By converting agricultural residues into fuel ethanol, India has the potential to reduce its dependence on imported petroleum. What’s more interesting is that this can be achieved without changing today’s agricultural land-use patterns or cultivating new energy crops. In addition, we already have the technology ready for deployment.
—Thomas Nagy, Executive Vice President, Novozymes
While the potential is high, the report states that issues like lack of policy implementation, absence of any incentive for collection of agriculture residue (only 25% of the waste is recovered from the fields) and requisite infrastructure need to be addressed for the optimum development of India’s advanced biofuel potential.
The report stresses that the emergence of a dynamic bioethanol industry depends on policy-makers putting in place India-wide mandates, coherent and innovative policies at the center and state levels, with policy incentives that actively encourage value chain stakeholders to make the necessary behavioral changes and investment decisions. Clear-cut policies and legislation with penalty for non-compliance will stimulate the growth of the biofuels sector.
This is possible because India's gasoline consumption is currently only 3% that of USA and that (59% of 3%) would be equal to only 1.8% of current USA consumption.
USA could do much more (volume wise) but never as much as a percentage of total gasoline consumption. If we ever reach 15% to 20%, we would be stretching it, unless we manage to reduce our total consumption or find a miracle crop. Using coal and NG/SG as feed stocks could help to do more.
Posted by: HarveyD | 18 May 2011 at 08:45 AM
Middle east countries could make fuels from all the natural gas they have and ship them to India undercutting prices.
This is what OPEC does, if there is alternative substitution threat, they will make you an offer that you can not refuse.
Posted by: SJC | 18 May 2011 at 11:51 AM