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KIT study finds extraordinarily cold Arctic stratospheric winter enhanced ozone degradation above the Arctic

Extraordinarily cold temperatures in the stratosphere during the winter of 2010/2011 caused the most massive destruction of the ozone layer above the Arctic so far, according to a study by climate researchers at KIT (Karlsruhe Institute of Technology). Their paper appears in the journal Geophysical Research Letters.

March 2011: Strongly reduced ozone values (left, dark blue) and significantly increased concentration of chlorine monoxide (right, red) that is directly involved in ozone degradation. (Figure: IMK-ASF, KIT) Click to enlarge.

The mechanisms leading to the first ozone hole above the North Pole were studied by scientists of the KIT Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research (IMK). According to these studies, further cooling of the ozone layer may enhance the influence of ozone-destroying substances, e.g. chlorofluorocarbons (CFC), such that repeated occurrence of an ozone hole above the Arctic has to be expected.

According to IMK studies, occurrence of the Arctic ozone hole was mainly due to the extraordinarily cold temperatures in the ozone layer that is located at about 18 km height in the stratosphere, i.e. the second layer of the earth’s atmosphere.

There, chlorine compounds originating from chlorofluorocarbons (CFC, e.g. greenhouse gases and refrigerants) and other pollutants are converted chemically at temperatures below -78 °C. These chemical conversion products attack the ozone layer and destroy it partly. One of the main conclusions from the study is that if the trend to colder temperatures in the stratosphere observed in the past decades continues, repeated occurrence of an Arctic ozone hole has to be expected.

The team of IMK researchers analyzed measurements of the chemical composition of the atmosphere by the MIPAS satellite instrument developed by KIT. In addition, model calculations were made to determine concrete effects of further cooling of the ozone layer.

We found that further decrease in temperature by just 1°C would be sufficient to cause a nearly complete destruction of the Arctic ozone layer in certain areas.

—Dr. Björn-Martin Sinnhuber, lead author

Observations over the past thirty years indicate that the stratosphere in cold Arctic winters cooled down by about 1°C per decade on the average. According to Sinnhuber, further development of the ozone layer will consequently be influenced also by climate change. He points out that the increase in carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases will warm up the bottom air layers near the ground due to the reflection of part of the thermal radiation by the bottom layer of the atmosphere towards the earth’s surface, but also result in a cooling of the air layers of the stratosphere above, where the ozone layer is located.

After the first discovery of the Antarctic ozone hole in the mid-1980s, CFCs were rapidly identified to be the cause and their use was prohibited by the Montreal Protocol of 1987. However, it will take decades until these substances will have been removed completely from the atmosphere.


  • Sinnhuber, B.-M., G. Stiller, R. Ruhnke, T. von Clarmann, S. Kellmann, and J. Aschmann (2011) Arctic winter 2010/2011 at the brink of an ozone hole. Geophysical Research Letters, volume 38, doi: 10.1029/2011GL049784.



BEFORE the Montreal protocol US manufacturers voluntarily eliminated the use of "ozone depleting CFCs." Circa 1979. Thirty two years later we see only INCREASING loss of Arctic and now Antarctic ozone! Why? Because the scientists were wrong. Is this hard to grok? Scientists are wrong sometimes. This time, they are wrong.

Ozone depletion, thought to be related to chlorine (ChloroFlorCarbons) is actually far more sensitive to the massive emissions from mother nature herself - volcanoes. Injecting 300% more chlorine into the atmosphere than man-made substances combined.

The value lesson? Science, scientist, experts, knowledge administrators, are not always right. Science attempts to explain in human terms the vast mysteries of our conscious universe. It is an infant. A blustering babe in the woods with self-important belief that it knows best. Does it?? Umm, observation says NO!

We embark now upon a new era in which we no longer allow knowledge gatekeepers manipulate us. Prepare to learn that much you have been "told" is wrong. And that the universe and life is a far bigger concept than you have been led to believe. It'll be enlightening.


It's true, scientists are wrong sometimes. But in the end they're right more often than they're wrong because when they're wrong they are willing to admit to it and correct it.

You should try that sometime.

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