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Lux: consumer electronics, not automotive, will drive next-gen battery development; solid-state over Li-S and Li-air

While much of the motivation for next-generation batteries comes from transportation, Lux Research’s analysis concludes that the automotive market will be the last to adopt next-generation batteries due to the extreme cost sensitivity of automakers, stringent safety and lifetime requirements, and long, cautious adoption cycles. Hence, makers of next-generation batteries will have to look to other markets first.

Designers of consumer electronics—the largest current Li-ion application—will move the next generation battery market more meaningfully as they continue to push towards devices with smaller footprints, according to Lux.

Click to enlarge.

Analyzing the consumer electronics space, solid-state batteries will provide real completion to Li-ion in the consumer electronics market, offering tremendous technical value for a segment that prizes volumetric efficiency and low costs, according to the research firm. By 2020, solid-state will draw close to Li-ion as current complex manufacturing processes that are a challenge today are solved, costs fall and energy densities rise.

From this foundation, solid state will surge past Li-ion in technical value by 2030. Li-S will also make strong progress, but won’t quite match the well-rounded value propositions of solid-state and advancing Li-ion, finding only niche consumer electronics applications that prize excellent specific energy above all else. Li-air is a non-factor in this sector, hampered by its volumetric inefficiency and its need for peripherals, according to Lux.



Will the world use 5 or 10+ major battery technologies after 2020? The end use could dictate the use of different technologies.

It is difficult to see how (5B to 10B) 5 to 30 watt-hour mini units would be more important than (1B) 100+ kWh future EV e-storage units.


The Li-ion 2013 battery acceptance is rated "weak adaptation".

There are more cell phones, each with Li-ion batteries, then there are toilets on God's grey earth.

What does it take for "strong adaptation"?

It is difficult to see how (5B to 10B) 5 to 30 watt-hour mini units would be more important than (1B) 100+ kWh future EV e-storage units.
When the 100 TWh of EV units have to meet -40/+105°C operational temperature range, warranty lifespan and other stringent conditions, they are going to be restricted to a subset of the available technologies.

This is probably a good thing; consumer electronics are far less price-sensitive than automotive and can drive technological cycles much faster.


Small print - the 'latest & greatest' will reach Tesla battery packs first.

Ladson Geddings

I find this interesting; but, I don't trust studies of this nature because I'm never sure who's paying for them and/or who influences the outcome.

BTW, what ever happened to NiZn batteries; last I heard the problem with internal shorts had been solved, the Chinese had control of the latest IP and were going to scale up for production.


I agree with some of what they've said, such as the angst with which the auto industry accepts change/new tech. But I think that any other predictions here are like trying to predict the stock market 5 years from now. The only thing you really know is that things tend to go up over time, but you certainly can't predict whether IBM, Apple, Microsoft of Google will be dominating an industry the same way you can't predict which battery tech will advance or dominate a market.

Doing so is simply an exercise in milking gullible people to pay you to predict things for which you can't possibly be right LOL


Cell phone and computer battery packs are FAR more profitable so duh they get the tech first DER DER ...........................FREAKIN DER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

In other news water is wet!

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