Outdoor air concentrations of nitrogen dioxide (NO2) in Germany have a serious impact on health, according to a new study published by the German Environment Agency (Umwelt Bundesamt, UBA). (The study was carried out on behalf of UBA by the Helmholtz Zentrum München and IVU Umwelt.) Statistics for 2014 indicate roughly 6,000 premature deaths due to cardiovascular diseases which are linked to background concentrations of NO2 in both rural and urban areas.
The study also shows that NO2 pollution is associated with diseases such as diabetes mellitus, hypertension, stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and asthma.
The study proves how harmful nitrogen dioxide is to health in Germany. We must take every measure possible to ensure that our air is clean and healthy. The need for action is particularly urgent in cities with heavy traffic, a fact which the Federal Administrative Court has confirmed. There is even talk of imposing driving bans as a last resort.—UBA President Maria Krautzberger
The study points out that 8% of the existing cases of diabetes mellitus in Germany in 2014 are linked to nitrogen dioxide exposure in outdoor air. That means that about 437,000 people are suffering the disease. For existing cases of asthma, the percentage of cases which can be traced to NO2 pollution is even higher: around 14%, or about 439,000 cases.
Although epidemiological studies do not allow to draw conclusions about causal relationships, they do deliver a great deal of consistent results about the statistical correlations between negative health effects and NO2 exposure.
The model calculations which were applied for the purposes of the study are based on cautious assumptions:
Only those diseases for which there is a strong correlation to nitrogen dioxide exposure were taken into consideration;
No health impact was factored in for NO2 exposure of less than 10 μg/m3 due to a current lack of reliable research which unequivocally confirms an association between low concentrations and effects on health.
Certain constraints in methodology allowed for the NO2 exposure in urban and rural backgrounds only to be factored as representative of the overall population, thus excluding certain peak load areas and traffic hot spots.
In order to also assess the influence of peak loads, estimations of the traffic-related share of disease burden which is associated with NO2 were made in both urban and non-city settings. In this context, there is an increase of up to 50% in disease burden compared to regions in which only background concentrations were included.
This is proof that the number of medical conditions and deaths associated with nitrogen dioxide is much greater in places with high exposure.—Maria Krautzberger
Nitrogen dioxide pollution has been decreasing for a number of years overall, but current data for 2017 corroborates that many locations still exceed threshold levels.
One significant cause of harmful nitrous oxides in respiratory air is undoubtedly diesel cars – also on roads with lighter traffic.—Maria Krautzberger
The new study evaluated numerous earlier studies, starting by determining for which health risks there are reliable statistics about an association with NO2 exposure. The study the analyzed the results of epidemiological research applicable to the German population.
Data from measurements and modelling of nitrogen dioxide concentrations were combined with data on population density. This data blending enabled drawing conclusions about the levels of NO2 pollution to which people in Germany are exposed in a year.
By linking relevant statistics on public health (e.g. cause of death) and applying the World Health Organization’s (WHO) concept to assess the Environmental Burden of Disease, the study made calculations of the statistical incidences of disease and deaths in Germany linked to nitrogen dioxide.
The UBA is Germany’s main environmental protection agency. It gathers data concerning the state of the environment, investigates the relevant interrelationships and makes projections—and then, based on these findings, provides federal bodies such as the Ministry of the Environment with policy advice. It also implements environmental law.
Alexandra Schneider, Josef Cyrys, Susanne Breitner, Ute Kraus, Annette Peters, Volker Diegmann, Lina Neunhäuserer (2018) “Wie sehr beeinträchtigt Stickstoffdioxid (NO2 ) die Gesundheit der Bevölkerung in Deutschland?”