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DOE: median EV range in US grew from 73 miles in MY 2011 to 125 miles in MY

In model year 2011, there were just three different models of all-electric vehicles (AEV) available and their ranges on a full charge (according to the Environmental Protection Agency) spanned from 63 to 94 miles.

By model year 2018, the number of AEV models increased to 14 and the available ranges expanded as well, from a minimum of 58 miles for the Smart Fortwo Electric Drive Coupe to a maximum of 335 miles for the Tesla Model S 100D.

From 2011 to 2018, the median of the AEV ranges increased by 52 miles: from 73 to 125 miles.


Source: DOE.



Average EV range has been growing at the rate of 7.4 miles/year or about 12 Km/year for the last 7 years.

If this trend is maintained, the average EV range may increase to:

1) 162 miles or about 260 Km by 2023
2) 200 miles or about 320 Km by 2028
3) 238 miles or about 380 Km by 2033
4) 276 miles or about 440 Km by 2038
5) 315 miles or about 500 Km by 2043

However, near future higher performance, quicker charge, lower price batteries + the arrival of 50+ more EVs on the market, may accelerate average range increase at a faster rate, to about (500+ Km) by 2033 or so?

Meanwhile, 500+ Km range EVs will be available (at a higher price) from a few manufacturers for the 2% to 5% who can afford it.

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