New DuckerFrontier survey finds aluminum remains fastest growing automotive material, emerging as a preferred metal for EVs
13 August 2020
A new survey conducted by DuckerFrontier finds that aluminum, already the fastest growing automotive material, is expected to grow to content levels of 514 pounds per vehicle (PPV) by 2026, up 12% from 2020 levels.
Aluminum applications are classified into 2 categories (platform and component) and 13 groups. Platform Parts are at the heart—they drive the content changes on a year-to-year basis. Component Parts are building blocks; historically, and for the foreseeable future, these parts provide a foundation of content. Within a component group, the focus has been set on select main AL components. Source: DuckerFrontier.
The new survey analyzes the latest information on material content for North American light vehicles from the full automotive value chain, including automakers and their suppliers, and credits aluminum content penetration increases to its growing use in vehicle closure parts, body-in-white parts and chassis applications in traditional vehicles, as well as growth of electrified powertrain and battery electric vehicle (BEV) platforms.
As consumer pressures and environmental challenges increase so too does the use of automotive aluminum. This demand is accelerating as low weight, high-strength aluminum is helping automakers adapt to new mobility trends, and we’re bullish on the growth potential of the metal in the fast-emerging electric vehicle segment.
Automotive aluminum market penetration enjoyed year-over-year growth the past five decades and that expansion is expected to continue as far down the road as can be projected today. As electric vehicles become more widely available, greater aluminum use to extend range and help offset battery weight and cost will ensure consumers will still be able to choose high performing cars and trucks that are safe, fun to drive and better for the protection of the environment.
—Ganesh Panneer, chair of the Aluminum Transportation Group (ATG) and vice president and general manager for automotive North America at Novelis
Automakers will continue to increase the use of aluminum in new vehicles as the design evolution to multi-material cars, trucks and SUVs continues. According to the 2020 DuckerFrontier “North American Light Vehicle Aluminum Content and Outlook” report, aluminum flat rolled sheet remains a key solution to replace heavier steels and help automakers achieve mass reduction goals.
Doors represent the single highest net growth application of aluminum content per vehicle with penetration reaching 30% by 2026. Also, by 2026, aluminum hood penetration is expected to reach 81% and liftgates/tailgates reaching 44%. By 2030, total aluminum content is estimated to reach 570 PPV, a 24% increase over the next decade.
The analysis finds that demand for aluminum extrusions and high-pressure aluminum diecast parts will grow due to increased use in applications such as battery housings, motor housings and body structural components. Aluminum also continues to drive vehicle safety, with extrusions for crash management system (CMS) applications projected to increase 10% from 2016-2022.
Automakers continue to favor aluminum in an ever-changing industry climate as demonstrated by recent product launches, including the Ford Bronco and Jeep Gladiator, which both feature intensive use of aluminum closures and structural components.
The aluminum industry invested or committed more than $3 billion to ensure increased automotive capacity in the US since 2013, and the industry is prepared to continue such investments in domestic manufacturing jobs as demand continues to grow.
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Posted by: SJC_1 | 13 August 2020 at 03:27 PM