A new study shows feedstocks produced within the US are on track to support domestic production of an additional 1.4 billion gallons of renewable diesel and biodiesel, also known as biomass-based diesel (BBD), by 2030.

Commissioned by the National Oilseed Processors Association (NOPA) and conducted by S&P Global Commodity Insights, the report verified that the US oilseed industry is ready and able to meet higher Renewable Volume Obligations (RVOs) for 2026 and beyond as the industry has invested $6 billion to expand US crushing capacity by nearly 30% relative to 2023 installed capacity.

The study evaluated the global and domestic supply and availability of feedstocks relative to the feedstock needs implied by the US Renewable Fuel Standard’s (RFS) RVOs. In 2023 alone, domestic and imported feedstocks supported the production of 4.3 billion gallons of BBD, surpassing the yearly RVO targets for 2023, 2024 and 2025.

The study found that with planned expansions to US oilseed processing capabilities, domestic feedstocks alone can support the production of an additional 1.4 billion gallons of BBD by 2030 while imported sources can further support an additional 1 billion gallons, for a combined total of 6.7 billion gallons of supported BBD production by 2030.

The study’s findings make it clear that the US oilseed industry is more than capable of meeting and exceeding demand for food, feed and fuel well into the next decade. While NOPA members were disappointed in the last RVO announcement due to lower than anticipated volumes, we remain optimistic that we now have the comprehensive data on our side to make the case that RVOs can and should be higher in 2026 and beyond. Higher RVOs will not only help achieve our decarbonization goals at a faster pace, but will provide NOPA members with the clarity and certainty we need to continue to expand our US manufacturing facilities and crush more US farmer-grown oilseeds.

—Kailee Tkacz Buller, NOPA President and CEO